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Columns

The rain in Western New York has been more than a nuisance. It is slowing crop maturation, likely leading to more problems with plant fungi, making it more difficult to get farm machinery out in the fields and probably cutting back on farm productivity. Mosquito populations in some areas (like my house) are soaring, golf courses are soggy, ballgames are getting rained o…

Columns

The GFS-Fv3 model is up and running. It has greater resolution within its grid points and what the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration is describing as a tremendously improved dynamical core. The GFS-Fv3 model has replaced the GFS, the global U.S. model which goes out as far as 16 days in advance. Few logical meteorologists rely on detailed precipitation for…

Weather

Our mean warming climate is one of a number of causal factors behind the increases in tick populations, their northward spread and the spread of the diseases they carry. There are other factors, including the given weather (rather than long-term climate) in certain particular springs and summers. Land use and human population patterns are important, but the mean warming th…

Weather

What I wrote last Wednesday has come to bear out. Confession: this past weekend really was a lock, so that part of the forecast was not exactly a tough call. After all that comfortable warmth and bright sunshine, our problem continues to be nature’s inability to provide our region with an extended drying out and warming up spell. Some of this is tied to unseasonable blo…

Local News

The warm, sunny weekend is over. Unsettled weather is back in Buffalo's forecast. Moisture is forecast to continue building into Western New York today and could result in heavy rainfall by late afternoon and through the evening, National Weather Service forecasts show. Chances for showers are expected today, but showers and thunderstorms are forecast to become more …

The Lake Ontario shoreline may be in for another day of increased flooding. The National Weather Service issued a lakeshore flood watch, effective Monday night through Tuesday afternoon, for Niagara and Orleans counties. The Weather Service cited a "combination of very high lake levels and moderately strong west to northwest winds" in issuing the watch. The increa…

Columns

Since the five Great Lakes are interconnected, we know Lake Ontario isn’t overflowing independently of the other four lakes. Lake levels have always been cyclical, with low-level periods and high-level periods. The cycle doesn’t run with regularity, since it is directly linked to weather patterns that also don’t run with smooth regularity. For example, there have been flo…

Weather

What is so rare this year as a weekend in spring that, by all appearances, is a "lock?” Those are always risky words when uttered by a meteorologist several days in advance. Yet my confidence level is such I could answer Dirty Harry with, “Yes, this punk feels lucky.” High pressure will be dominating our part of the continent, supplying drier, sinking air. This trend has …

Columns

Every meteorologist I know has been asked that question, and more than once. To some of you, that may seem like a dumb question. But I can see why many would wonder why we couldn’t harness the tremendous power of a H-bomb to suppress the power of a hurricane. Now that hurricane season has begun, that question will be raised again in some quarters. (In fact, there is someth…

Weather

Monday's expected high temperature for Buffalo? 57 degrees. That's 15 degrees colder than normal. And, it would be the coldest June 3 in more than two decades. (It was 56 degrees in 1998.) What gives? An upper-level trough of cold air will dig down into the Buffalo Niagara region, according to the National Weather Service. "This will translate into temperatures…

Weather

It could be a bumpy Saturday night across parts of Western New York. Thunderstorms bringing heavy rain, damaging winds and hail are possible in some areas later today, according to the National Weather Service. In a special weather statement, the weather service said an area of thunderstorms were expected to reach the region between 6 and 7 p.m. and track slowly east…

Columns

The answer is “probably.” May has been disastrous in large swaths of the country. For us, it’s been more a matter of disappointment, not disaster. The monthly mean temperature is finishing 1.5 degrees below average. That’s lousy, but not extraordinary. As for cloud cover, there has been only one day at Buffalo in which skies were meteorologically clear, 0-.3 cloud cover. 1…

Environment

Workers from the state Department of Transportation on Thursday began what was expected to be a two-day effort to repair a 35-foot gap in a concrete barrier in Olcott that was breached Tuesday by waves from Lake Ontario. "The state's been great with resources," said Jonathan F. Schultz, Niagara County emergency management director. Strong northeast winds Tuesday led …

Columns

Our Western New York weather has been frequently disappointing this spring. Yes, we’ve had some fine days here and there, with a high of 83 on May 25 and May 19, but prolonged warmth and dryness has been elusive. I’m using the mild term “disappointing” by point of comparison to the widespread disasters unfolding over large portions of the country. We have plenty to whine …

Local News

Tuesday was a day Gina Robinson won't soon forget. A fish from Lake Ontario swam into her basement. "The flood blew my door apart," she said, examining the wreck of the storm door leading to the basement of her home on Cooper Street in Olcott. She showed a photo on her cellphone of a two-inch-long fish in the hand of her boyfriend, Gary Feeley, as he stood in their b…