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The long wait for an unseasonably warm day in Buffalo is coming on Sunday. Forecasts show parts of Western New York – including the official record-keeping station at Buffalo Niagara International Airport – is expected to flirt with 80 degrees. Buffalo's streak without an 80-degree day to start the year is the longest since 2003. That year, it took until June 17 to m…

Weather

The last time I really scoured computer guidance it was Monday, at which time temperatures were looking rosy for this weekend, especially Sunday. Hey, I’m semi-retired and I was probably busy with goofing off. That takes time, properly done. Anyway, the first hint I received it was time to take another look came from a very pessimistic Facebook friend who was already gn…

Columns

We have our own regional water level problems, which ebb and rise cyclically, as is currently happening along the shore of Lake Ontario. There is a tenuous link between climate change and lake levels (more heavy precipitation events tied to a warming atmosphere over recent decades sending more runoff into the lakes). The cyclical nature of lake levels, however, was with…

Local News

Rare mid-May snowflakes are possible overnight and early Tuesday across some of the higher elevations of Western New York, the National Weather Service said. Metro Buffalo will be spared but more rain, patchy fog and temperatures 15 to 20 degrees below normal are expected. The chilly, damp weather is being generated by a core of cold air associated with low pressure …

Columns

Oh, sure. We get a really nice day here and there. Some sporadic warmth dares to caress our skin for a few hours every now and then. But I’ve yet to run into anyone recently who’s effusive about the glory of this springtime. If I had, I might have suspected some sort of substance abuse. Last Sunday, I wrote an article here titled “Mediocre May.” I’d forecast several showe…

Weather

Buffalo already has the 2018-19 big city snow title in the bag. So, it must be resting some snowflakes until next season. Elsewhere around the country? Flakes were still flying in nearly a dozen states. The University of Colorado Boulder's spring commencement ceremony was shortened Thursday – by a snowstorm. The outdoor event was dubbed "snow-mencement" and gra…

Weather

Your backyard's muddy and you can't mow the lawn. Lake waters bulge on area shorelines. Sewage overflows abound. Blame it on the rain. Nearly 1 inch more came late Thursday, overnight and into early this morning. More is forecast on Mother's Day, too. That precipitation – officially, 0.97 inches as of 8 a.m. Friday at the Buffalo Niagara International Airport – ma…

Weather

Of the eight northern latitude nations meeting this week on arctic commerce, resources and environmental protection, only the United States would not sign on to an agreement if it included language on climate change in the region. It is correct the ongoing reduction in sea ice in the Arctic Ocean may result in the eventual development of sea lanes that would have commerci…

Columns

While I was away last week, the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center grew more optimistic about May temperature probabilities, even in our region. I try not to live up to my self-proclaimed title of “prince of pessimism” but I must say "au contraire." Pardon my French. Of course, I have the benefit of hindsight, now that we’re nearly a week into the month.…

Environment

On Sunday, the water temperature at Buffalo Harbor went from 32 degrees to 33 degrees. So if you're not a fan of seeing an icy Lake Erie in May, that comes as good news: The ice is melting. But look at the Buffalo Harbor or the Niagara River, however, and it's apparent the remnants of winter won't vanish overnight. Ice floes inundate the harbor. Chunks of ice float a…

Local News

We are the national snow champions. Probably. With the calendar about to turn to May, Buffalo has a virtual lock at besting arch-nemesis Syracuse in seasonal snowfall for the first time since 2002. In doing so, Buffalo also will capture its first Golden Snow Globe award for recording the most snowfall of any U.S. city with a population over 100,000. That also mean…

Columns

There are times when snow becomes a high confidence forecast. April 28th is not one of those times. Climatology alone dictates that. The angle of the sun is higher, true arctic air is hard to come by, and snow this late in the season is quite rare. But you already knew that, right? Of course, there was that 1989 Mother's Day snowstorm, as detailed by the Buffalo National …

Local News

Enjoy the sunshine today because things are about to get yucky. There's rain in the forecast for all of Friday and then Saturday night, more rain and "possibly" some snow overnight as the temperatures dip into the mid- to low 30s, said National Weather Service meteorologist Jim Mitchell. "It's not a for-sure thing," he said. "It could get cold enough to see some wet …

Columns

Hype is in the air. (Note I didn’t say “overhype.” To me, that’s redundant, since hype already means something is being exaggerated.) Our mean warming climate is already causing problems with rising sea levels, increased coastal flooding, more excessive precipitation events in already wet regions, more spread of weather-sensitive tropical diseases … and the list goes on, a…