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Marc Lawrence


Analysis

Uh oh. Off back-to-back losses in December for the first time in 15 years, the seemingly invincible New England Patriots suddenly are in danger of not securing a first-round bye for the playoffs. According to Nate Davis of USA TODAY, in their 15-playoff appearances under Tom Brady and Bill Belichick, the Patriots have had to play on wild-card weekend only three times…

Sports

Bills rookie QB Josh Allen, who is maddeningly elusive — and inaccurate — had TE Charles Clay wide open in the end zone for a game-winning TD late in the game but underthrew him just a touch in Buffalo’s loss to Miami last week. It was a demoralizing loss for the Bills, for sure. The bad news is Buffalo is only 15-38 straight up and 12-41 against the spread in games aft…

Analysis

If we’re setting odds on NFL coaches making it through the end of the season, we have Adam Gase listed as the leading candidate to get pink-slipped before Black Monday. On his updated resume, he should list "run the ball on 3rd-and-10" as his favorite offensive call. It’s what cost Miami a victory in Sunday’s loss at Indianapolis, and the deer-in-the-headlights look is …

Analysis

As unreal as it seems, this matchup of underachieving 3-7 performers actually pairs the league’s No. 2 and No. 3 overall defenses. That begs the question: Where is the offense? The slumping Jaguars took a 16-0 third-quarter lead against Pittsburgh last week and then took the rest of the day off in a 20-16 loss. Meanwhile, after failing to score more than 13 points in…

Analysis

With Jets quarterback Sam Darnold out, the value play dissipated for Bills' backers. But who are the Jets to be favored by a touchdown over any team playing tackle football these days? Josh Allen appears to be back and could help boost the offense and avoid another Nathan Peterman appearance. Best line of the week came from USA TODAY’S Nate Davis when he said, “Much-mal…

Analysis

The Bills somehow found a way to once again gift-wrap the money to its opponent in the late stages to the Patriots in Monday night’s division duel. That‘s what bad teams do. Surprisingly, though, Buffalo brings the league's sixth-ranked defense into this fray, allowing 329 yards per game, but the question for the Bills is always what type of performance can they expect …

Analysis

Let’s get this ugly stat for dog lovers (that would be us) right out of the way: NFL road favorites of seven or more points coming off a road win that was preceded by three consecutive home wins are 14-1 straight up (SU) and 11-4 against the spread (ATS) since 1980, including 8-0 SUATS in division games. Gulp. But because we’re handicappers and not New England Patriots …

Bills

If it weren’t for bad luck, Indianapolis Colts quarterback Andrew Luck would have no luck at all. Or more specifically, if the Colts' defense ever decides to show up, it just might put the beleaguered quarterback in a position to win. Thanks to Luck's play, in its last three games, Indianapolis has managed to outgain each of its opponents despite surrendering 42, 38, an…

Analysis

The last thing the struggling Houston Texans need is to have quarterback Deshaun Watson watching this game from the sidelines. He’s listed day to day with a chest injury, but then again, aren’t we all? The Texans have been doing a terrible job protecting him, and if the human piñata is not under center Sunday, it will be quarterback Brandon Weeden, who is 2-11 straight …

Analysis

The Tennessee Titans hit the road after a come-from-behind overtime win against the Philadelphia Eagles, but it's worth nothing that Tennessee (3-1) has coughed up season-high yards in half their games. Furthermore, this from the well-oiled machine: Away teams are just 13-41 straight up and 16-38 against the spread since 1992 after having upset the defending Super Bowl …

Bills

How big of an upset was the Buffalo Bills' 27-6 victory Sunday? The Bills won the game outright as a 16.5-point underdog. According to the Playbook.com database, which goes back to 1980, only three NFL teams have won outright as underdogs of 16 points or more. Two of those involved the Bills. Nov. 29, 1992: The Bills were 16.5-point favorites against the Colts. In…

Bills

Egad. The Buffalo Bills are sinking to new lows and sinking rapidly at that. After allowing 78 points in a pair of lopsided season-opening losses, the Bills are 16-point underdogs Sunday in Minnesota. But before preparing to empty the trash, you should know that NFL non-division underdogs of 16 or more points are 14-6 ATS since 2001. In addition, the Bills themselves…

Bills

The inept Bills had 33 yards and no first downs when they entered the locker room down 26-0 at the half against Baltimore in an eventual 47-3 loss – the worst season-opening defeat in Buffalo history last week. While it appears the Nathan Peterman experiment (a 0.0 passer rating on 5-of-18 for 24 yards and two interceptions) is finally in the rearview mirror, the questi…

Nathan Peterman was named the Bills’ starting quarterback to the chagrin of some fans. Nonetheless, the Bills were obviously not satisfied with a 300-yard offense when they jettisoned Tyrod Taylor to Cleveland and then traded up to land QB Josh Allen in the first round. Allen appears to be a work in progress, though, and with projected starting QB A.J.McCarron going dow…

Bills

The most favorable stat in the Bills favor is that quarterbacks in their first playoff game have struggled at home  over the last 15 years, going 7-14 straight up and and 6-15 against the spread. That is the status of Jacksonville's Blake Bortles. Then again quarterback in their first playoff game are just 4-13 straight up and 5-11-1 against the spread while on the road…