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Don Paul

Don Paul is a frequent contributor on weather/climate for The Buffalo News. He is also a staff meteorologist for WKBW and a former chief meteorologist for WIVB.


Weather

Few times have a modern, major city been in water trouble the way Cape Town, South Africa, is in trouble. “Day Zero” is May 11. That’s the day government officials expect to turn off tap water to the more than 4 million residents of the city. The date May 11 is actually a bit of good news, because earlier estimates had centered on mid-April. However, area fruit growers …

Columns

Some say February is the cruelest month of all. I suppose “cruel” is in the eye, mind, and feel of the beholder. In the midst of a colder than average winter—where average is cold to begin with—February can take on that quality. Shorter in length, yes, but still very much the heart of winter even though we pass the halfway mark. As for this particular February, probabil…

Weather

The first time I read of zombie viruses being released from melting permafrost in our warming environment, my antennae wiggled. I suspected this might be more social media junk science that flows so endlessly on the web. But I did see a couple of credible articles suggesting this was hypothetically possible (one in The Atlantic comes to mind), so I lowered my skepticism sh…

Weather

In the many articles I’ve written concerning our warming climate, I’ve often referred to a range of scenarios and possibilities for the pace and extent of warming in the global mean. The range would extend from smaller amounts of warming to the disastrous top end. The upper end might include the melting of the Greenland ice cap, which by itself would raise global sea level…

Weather

On Monday, Jan. 14, 1985 I arrived at WIVB in something of a funk. The winter up to that point hadn’t been a total dud for a meteorologist new to Western New York, but not much was happening. I think I had a low-grade fever, the blahs had invaded my soul, and as far as I knew coming into work it was going to be a gray, dull week. Then, along came the National Weather…

Weather

As much as we know a mean warming climate is out there, it has always been difficult to quantify a connection between that kind of climate change and an individual weather event or shorter term pattern. Some consequences of a connection with a phenomenon in the longer term, such as rising sea levels, are easily proven and irrefutable. The northern migration of certain plan…

Weather

The misnomer “global warming hiatus” got its start from the oceans’ taking care of warming — to some extent — for those of us on land. It’s a misnomer because global warming never really slowed down, and it certainly didn’t stop. From the 1998 El Niño until 2013, the rate of warming on land slowed significantly. However, the rate of warming in the upper oceans incre…

Columns

Millions of Americans learned about something called “bombogenesis” and the phrase “bomb cyclone” for the first time last week. When the Blizzard of 2018 moved up off the east coast, it carved a place for itself in meteorological history … the bomb of bombs. Bombogenesis refers to extraordinary deepening of central barometric pressure in a nontropical low-pressure syste…

Bills

As of Saturday afternoon, here is Don Paul's look at the weather for Sunday's Bills-Jaguars game at EverBank Field. TAILGATE FORECAST: Cool, partly sunny, dry. 8 a.m. temperature: 39 rising to 49 by midday. GAME TEMPERATURE: 50 to 53 degrees. WIND: East north easter winds of 7 to 14 mph picking up to about 12 to 18 mph by game time. Slight impact on passing/kickin…

Columns

The week of Jan. 8th will be much less harsh than the previous 10 days, and the absolute worst of our cold wave will be over for the foreseeable future. It was pretty rough and occasionally dangerous while it lasted. That’s not to say you can’t find some crusty types who claim we and our schoolkids have been wussified. There is one spot in the Northeast in which no wuss…

Weather

Statistics compiled by government agencies, economists and insurance companies confirm 2017 was the most expensive weather-related disaster year in North American history. That’s apart from the tragic large loss of life which continues to mount in Puerto Rico as well as confirmed deaths elsewhere in the U.S. and the Virgin Islands related to other hurricanes, tornadoes, li…

Bills

As of Tuesday afternoon, here is Don Paul's look at the weather for Sunday's Bills-Jaguars Playoff Game at EverBank Field in Jacksonville. TAILGATE FORECAST: Cool start (not compared to home!) and partly sunny. The 8 a.m. temperature will be 39 degrees, rising to 57 degrees by midday/early afternoon. GAME TEMPERATURE: 57-60 degrees. WIND: East 5-10 mph early picki…

Bills

As of Saturday, here is Don Paul’s updated forecast for the Bills-Dolphins game in Miami at 4:25 pm Sunday. TAILGATE FORECAST: Mostly sunny and mild with only moderate humidity. Light wind, high UV index midday. Noon temperature: 71. GAME TEMPERATURE: 73, dropping into 60s during the game. WIND: NNE 7-12. Little impact on passing/kicking game. PRECIPITATION: No…

Bills

As of Tuesday, here is Don Paul's look at the weather for Sunday's Buffalo Bills-Miami Dolphins game at 4:25 p.m. TAILGATE FORECAST: Since the game has been moved to late afternoon, the forecast is keyed to midday. Noon temperature: 78 degrees. Partly sunny and rather humid. Slight chance of a passing shower. GAME TEMPERATURE: 75-78. WIND: E 10-15 PRECIPITATION…

Latest Bills

As of Saturday afternoon, here is my look at the weather for Sunday's Bills-Patriots game at Gillette Stadium. Tailgate forecast: The biggest change in the forecast involves a somewhat gustier wind and increased wind chill in the latest data. For tailgating, dry with a few sunny breaks, cold breeze. There may be a few slick spots from freezing rain and snow which had fa…