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Don Paul

Don Paul worked as a broadcast meteorologist for 34 years at all three Buffalo television stations, serving as chief meteorologist at WIVB for 29 years and chief at WGRZ for three years.


Weather

There is nothing unusual about snow in late March, as most of us know. March 22 brought winter storm warnings to much of interior eastern New York and northern New England for heavy snow and strong winds, as well as some nuisance snow to higher terrain in WNY. It may be depressing, but there is nothing freakish about it. Here is the range for average last measurable snow …

Columns

It took quite a while before national media began to catch on to the gravity of the aftermath of the enormous and powerful storm which ravaged much of the nation’s midsection last week. Initially, the blizzard northwest of the center of low pressure on the high plains got quite a bit of news coverage because it hit the Denver metro area hard. The storm was very accurately …

Columns

According to most models, we are in a weak El Niño right now that will persist for months to come. But the last El Niño was a biggie – the biggest in at least 50 years, occurring from late 2015 into 2016. Tropical disease specialists, entomologists, epidemiologists and public health scientists have long known a mean warming climate will impact the epidemiology of tropical…

Columns

As I’d forecast back on Monday, there should be no illusions about the chill in the air this St. Patrick’s Day weekend despite Thursday's 66 degrees. The weekend chill will have a little more harshness for the Old First Ward parade than for the Sunday parade. A high-resolution model indicates there may be an occasional hookup with Lake Huron for some fleeting flakes of no…

Columns

When I first got wind of what the Federal Communications Commission was considering doing with large parts of the broadcast spectrum used to communicate vital weather information, I said to myself, “Nah. That can’t be right. Someone’s got this story messed up.” Turns out, the FCC is indeed embarking on a program which could jeopardize weather prediction and the public s…

Columns

“And the good news is…” we are done with the kind of the cold we had last week, with single-figure lows and daytime teens. Actually, a breath of spring is headed our way later in the week, but that warm breath will have been expelled just in time for St. Patrick’s Day weekend. The warmth actually will be coming to us by way of an immense and deep storm system heading acro…

Columns

Some of you have heard me ineffectually whine about DST every year, ad very nauseum. Full disclosure: I have an intense dislike for daylight saving time, and so do most meteorologists. The issue for us weather people is straightforward: Models run an hour later. For those of us in broadcast meteorology (past tense for me at this time), that means less time to put togeth…

Weather

As I’m typing on this Wednesday, March 6, the temperature is 12 degrees with a wind chill of minus 6 degrees. The 30-year average high and low for this date are 38 and 23. So far this young month is running 9.2 degrees below average, and that’s including two seasonable days on March 1 and 2. At least I can tell you by the time we reach the ides of March (surely you recall …

Weather

The cruel deep freeze this week has an extra psychological bite because we’re in the first full week of March. March, crikeys! The average high by this Friday is 39, and we’ll just be pushing the freezing mark this Friday after several days in the teens, with some single-digit lows. The average low this time of the year is in the low 20s. These temperatures would be muc…

Columns

One of the things I miss least about doing TV weather is the pressure to come up with a winter outlook. When I was still on TV this past autumn, I didn’t have much input into a weeknight presentation, and I was glad of that. If you’ll take the time to read what I wrote for The Buffalo News on Nov. 1, you’ll get the gist of what makes such outlooks a much riskier venture t…

Columns

Make no mistake: This has been a winter of extremes over many parts of the nation. Before Wednesday’s snow, Buffalo snowfall was at 102.4 inches, running 24.7 inches above average to the date and around 8 inches above average for an entire cold weather season. Earlier this month, parts of the Midwest and north central states experienced extraordinary cold and wind chill…

Weather

The ferocious wind storm is pulling away, the forecast verified all too well, and The Buffalo News has been providing admirable coverage of it. So, it’s back to the future for me. What’s next? Following a cold but quiet Tuesday comes snow on Wednesday. While this will be no whopper and will not be accompanied by strong winds, we'll get enough to slow traffic and have pe…

Columns

Model run after run, there has been remarkable agreement on the likely severity of the coming high wind outbreak which will develop during Sunday into Sunday night. With that in mind, the National Weather Service's Buffalo office elevated what had been a high wind watch to a high wind warning early on Friday. With average wind speeds increasing to 30-40 mph later Sunday m…

Columns

Punxsutawney Phil is probably snoozing peacefully, having gone back to hibernating after all the silly human saps staged this annual folklore ritual before the spring sap even runs. How does a groundhog NOT see his shadow with all the TV lights, anyway? But it’s alleged he saw no shadow. Ergo, winter exits early. Some may feel Phil gets the win when we head into the upper…

Columns

Let’s talk summer! We're not talking the summer weather outlook, but a cyclical circumstance which is returning to four of the Great Lakes this summer, including Lake Erie. Six years ago, the lakes were near record-low levels. They have since recovered and are still rising. The Army Corps of Engineers in Detroit has issued the lake levels forecast for this year and summer,…