Regardless of the opponents, the Bills’ back-to-back victories against Miami and Denver are their two most complete performances of the season. That means something. What it means to me is they have the necessary momentum to stand up to the challenge of facing the Cowboys after a short turnaround. I don’t think Jerry Jones’ public flogging of his coaching staff will provide extra incentive for his team. In fact, I think it will have just the opposite effect. The Bills will keep Ezekiel Elliott in check, which should help them contain Dak Prescott, and roll to a big win. Bills, 28-17.
Maybe I'm being sucked in, but it feels like the Bills have found something on offense the last couple of weeks. If Josh Allen can get some of the answers before the test, as offensive coordinator Brian Daboll likes to say, it makes things easier on the second-year quarterback. That will have to continue, because the Bills are going to need points. Dallas leads the league in total offense, so Allen and Co. need to be prepared to go toe-to-toe with the Cowboys. I'm banking on some dysfunction in Dallas impacting the Cowboys' preparation on a short week. A Bills win would be the biggest on the road in how long? A decade? Probably more. Something just tells me they are ready for that moment on a national stage (feel free to remind me of this about 8 p.m. on Thanksgiving if I am, indeed, a sucker). Bills, 27-23.
There are a lot of ways the game could go sideways for the Bills, starting with Ezekiel Elliott eating up chunks of yards in the ground game. How could it go right for the Bills? Early turnovers and a slow start by the Cowboys. (That’s what happened in their first two losses.) Maybe Leslie Frazier can dial up some zone pressures to force Dak Prescott into an early mistake. Aside from that, the Bills will need great red-zone defense (because Dallas surely will move the ball), a big day from Devin Singletary and a couple great plays by Josh Allen. Dallas clearly has the more talented roster. Cowboys, 34-17.
I picked the Bills to defeat a talented but dysfunctional team on the road when they played in Cleveland, and we all know how that turned out. While I think they're capable of beating the Cowboys on Thanksgiving, they're going to have to prove it before I buy in again. Buffalo hasn't beaten an opponent with a winning record this season, at least not at the time of the game, and they haven't faced an offense as dangerous as the Cowboys, ranked first in total yards and passing yards, sixth in points and eighth in rushing. If Ezekiel Elliot gets going early, the Bills are in trouble. Cowboys, 24-20.
No more cupcakes are on the menu for the Bills. The remainder of the schedule gets real from here on out, starting with Thanksgiving at JerryWorld. The Cowboys will pose the first test for the Bills since a 31-13 loss to the Eagles on Oct. 27, and it's a legitimate test, despite the fact that the Cowboys have underachieved. That loss to the Jets is especially ugly on the résumé, but the Cowboys have talent and they have offensive firepower, starting with Ezekiel Elliott. The Bills' defense will do its job. The challenge for the Bills will be to match that offense, particularly continued consistency from Josh Allen and Devin Singletary. Cowboys, 21-18.