The Bills (7-3) are again in their comfort zone, facing another team with a losing record in the Broncos (3-7). Buffalo’s wins have coming against teams that are currently 13-47 on the season, while its losses have been leveled by clubs that are 19-12.
The Bills’ problem Sunday, though, is their 1-6 against the spread record as a non-division favorite when coming off a division game and then facing a .600 or fewer opponent. In addition, they are also 1-8 against the spread as home favorites after tackling Miami.
The Broncos are 1-5 straight up and against the spread in their last six games versus AFC East foes.
With shoddy numbers on both sides of the ball, we’ll instead lean to an "under" of the 37.5 as it is a matchup of two top-five defenses. The Bills rank third and the Broncos are fourth.
Prediction: BILLS over Denver by 7.