I'm inclined to think the Buffalo Bills' offense has legitimately moved the needle from the wet book of matches act it had going through the better part of nine games. How far is the question. The Miami Dolphins are so bad, it's easy to assume that everything the Bills did well last Sunday was because of that. Still, I think the up-tempo approach of the offense and the comfort Josh Allen showed running it and the playmaking of John Brown are signs of progress that should continue. The Denver Broncos' defense will make it tough, but I think the Bills are the better team and should come out on top. Bills, 22-16.
For all the good that was accomplished last week in South Florida, it will mean little if the Bills slip up against the Broncos. It's possible, too, given Denver comes to town with a strong defense and quality running game. That does not necessarily match up well for the Bills, given their struggles to score points the first 10 weeks of the season and their issues stopping the run before last week. Don't expect 37 points for the Bills' offense or 23 rushing yards allowed by the defense. Instead, expect a close game. The good news for Bills fans is that their team has fared much better in those situations this season than the Broncos have. Look for that trend to continue. Bills, 20-16.
Don’t go to this game expecting to see a lot of pretty offense. There won’t be a ton of rhythm. There will be punting. The Bills’ defense should be able to keep Denver QB Brandon Allen from doing much damage. If the Bills can get to 24 points, it should be a sure win. But I don't think fans will have the luxury of leaving early. The spread of Bills being favored by four seems a little low. It’s a statement on how the betting public sees the Bills as a paper tiger. Bills, 23-14.
The Broncos might be a broken team after blowing a 20-point lead last week in Minnesota, but they're still capable of at least establishing a large advantage on the road, which is worrisome, despite their 3-7 record. It's unreasonable to expect Josh Allen and the Bills' offense to experience the same success as they did against the Dolphins. Denver owns a top-10 defense, ranked fourth in total yards, fifth in passing yards and eighth in points allowed. And Von Miller remains one of the most fearsome edge rushers in the NFL. Bills rookie right tackle Cody Ford has his work cut out for him, with the full-time job to himself after Ty Nsekhe was carted off the field in Miami with an ankle injury. A defensive struggle seems imminent. Bills, 20-17.
This matchup won’t be a “gimme” for the Bills, even though they showed significant progress on offense in the win last weekend at Miami. It will be a low-scoring game whose outcome will be dictated by consistency — whichever team can finish. The Broncos lost a 20-point lead in a loss last week to the Vikings, while the Bills played a complete game against the Dolphins (albeit against the Dolphins). This week, the Bills must shut down the Broncos, who have struggled on the road, despite having the offensive pieces in place to be competitive in wide receiver Courtland Sutton and running backs Phillip Lindsay and Royce Freeman. Bills, 21-14.