Losing is not an option. Losing could very well mean the beginning of the end of the season, even with six games remaining after Sunday. So I'm taking that right off the table, because I believe the Bills remain capable of winning a game they are absolutely, positively, unequivocally supposed to win. Forget the Dolphins' two-game winning streak. They are a bad, repeat bad, team. They should find success on both sides of the ball. Does it mean the offense will actually escape its perpetual scoring funk? I'm not quite ready to go that far, but anything short of a Bills victory is unacceptable. Bills, 21-17.
Let’s get right to the point: The Bills can’t lose this game. I mean, given how they have performed this season, they could lose it. The Dolphins have played better recently and the Bills have yet to put together a start-to-finish quality performance. There’s no such thing as a sure thing with this Bills team. They can’t lose it, though, if they have any hope of being a playoff team. If they do, look out. There will be serious questions about just where this team is headed. The pressure is squarely on coach Sean McDermott. His team has responded well after previous losses this season. They should be able to do it again, even if it’s not a dominant performance. Bills, 23-16.
I love the Bills this week. I don’t put much stock in Miami’s win against Indianapolis. Colts QB Brian Hoyer was terrible. I know, you’re thinking that Miami coach Brian Flores might make Josh Allen look terrible. Nope. The Bills will run on Miami’s bad run defense. Allen will be good. Miami’s offense is even more neutered than it was a month ago in Orchard Park thanks to more injuries. Remember last week when we said Cleveland had a clear talent edge on Buffalo? This week the talent gap is big in Buffalo’s favor. I’m 7-2 picking Bills games against the spread this year. Buffalo. Big. Bills, 31-10.
The Dolphins have the 30th-ranked rushing defense. But will Bills offensive coordinator Brian Daboll make a sustained effort to run the ball? Frank Gore and Devin Singletary seemed poised to have a big game against Cleveland's poor run defense, but they were limited to 13 carries combined, while Josh Allen attempted a career-high 41 passes in a loss. If the Dolphins can dissuade the Bills from even attempting to run by simply putting eight men in the box, it could be a long day. The Bills should win this game. They really need this victory to keep their season from unraveling. But I wouldn't be shocked by another loss. Bills, 24-20.
The Bills have no choice but to bounce back from the loss against Cleveland. The Bills don't want to wear the crown of "the most farcical 6-3 team in the NFL." The Dolphins stumbled through a 0-7 start, but they're finally finding footing (albeit against the Jets and the Colts) and are likely playing their way out of contention for the top pick in the 2020 draft. The Dolphins have little to lose against the Bills, have no choice but to give the ball to running backs Frank Gore and Devin Singletary against one of the worst rush defenses in the NFL, and the Bills' defense needs to shut down a shorthanded Dolphins offense. Bills, 19-14.