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Streak of cool months melted in Buffalo with warm July

For the first month since February, the monthly temperature in Buffalo was warmer than average in July.

At an average temperature of 74 degrees, the mercury averaged about 3 degrees warmer than normal.

Even so, the statistic wasn't particularly impressive.

"It wasn't even in the Top 10," said Tony Ansuini, meteorologist at the National Weather Service. "For folks it kind of seemed hotter than it really was because the spring and early summer was cooler than normal."

Still, the temperature made the month the city's 16th warmest July. Four of the top 16 have come this decade.

The warmth also corresponded with a report from a European climate agency that July 2019 eclipsed July 2016 for the world's warmest month on record, the Washington Post reported.

In Buffalo, July brought a lone 90-degree day. That came on July 10 when the mercury stopped at 90 degrees.

But, the thermometer reached 80 degrees on 24 days during July. That's about seven days more than average, weather service data shows.

What stood out more about July to meteorologists was the precipitation. There was just 1.83 inches. That's 1.4 inches less than normal.

And, most of the rain that fell came over just three days: 0.5 inches on July 30; 0.35 inches, July 17; and 0.23 inches, July 29.

Despite the dry July, total precipitation is still about 2.5 inches above average for the year, data shows.

Will August follow in the footsteps of July's heat?

Forecasts suggest temperatures are more likely than not to run below average through mid-August. (Climate Prediction Center)

It's not likely, at least over the first two weeks, projections from the federal Climate Prediction Center show.

"It looks like were going into another pattern change," Ansuini said.

A broad trough of cooler air is expected to bring below-average temperatures across the Buffalo Niagara region over the next two weeks.

By late this week, high temperatures are only forecast in the low 70s. The average high for this part of the calendar is 79 degrees.

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