Share this article

print logo

[BN] Blitz newsletter: Can the Bills get into the top half of the league in TD passes?

In January, Jay Skurski wrote that "there should be a parade down Delaware Avenue" if Josh Allen throws 26 touchdown passes in 2019. A reader followed up in this week's mailbag, asking Skurski if he still feels the same way.

"OK, maybe not a parade down Delaware," Skurski wrote. "How about a lawn fete in Blasdell? Seriously, though, if Allen increases his touchdown passes from 10 as a rookie, which was tied for 32nd in the league, to 26 in his second year, that would be a massive improvement. Last year, Houston’s Deshaun Watson threw 26 touchdown passes, which ranked 12th. If Allen were to jump into the top dozen, the offense will be greatly improved – and there will be legitimate optimism that the Bills have finally found their guy at quarterback."

The NFL average last season was 26.5 touchdown passes per team. Kansas City led the way with 50 and the Bills ranked dead last with 13. Buffalo hasn't been in the top half of the league in touchdown passes since tying for 15th in 2014 (shoutout to Kyle Orton!) and last surpassed 26 as a team in 1998, when Doug Flutie and Rob Johnson combined to surpass the mark.

Only two players in franchise history have ever reached 26 TD passes in a season: Jim Kelly in 1991 (33) and Joe Ferguson in 1983 (26). If Allen throws 26 touchdowns this year, it could give him one of the best statistical seasons for a quarterback in Bills history.

Allen threw for less than one touchdown per start last season (10 TDs, 11 starts), so 26 would be quite an improvement (although he also ran for eight touchdowns, including five from 10 yards or less). Mike Clay, who does projections for ESPN, projects Allen for 17 touchdown passes and seven on the ground, which could make Allen an interesting fantasy option.

How Orchard Park native Brian Ayrault became an NFL superagent: Did you know that one of the NFL's power agents is an Orchard Park grad? Brian Ayrault, who works for CAA, actually played baseball with Terry Pegula's oldest son growing up, and Pegula was instrumental to his professional career. "I'd say two things stuck out: competitive and smart," Pegula said of what he saw in Ayrault. "I would try to help him out with the business side of things."


Got feedback on this newsletter or our Bills coverage? Email Josh Barnett at Find us on Facebook by clicking here and follow @BNBlitzNow on Twitter.

Want more [BN] Blitz? Sign up for a two-week free trial by clicking here.

[BN] Blitz newsletter: Which Bills will you want on your fantasy team?

Story topics: / /

There are no comments - be the first to comment