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Draft meter: Measuring the likelihood of which player the Bills will select

Who will the Buffalo Bills select with the ninth pick in the NFL draft? The News' Vic Carucci and Jay Skurski select 10 possibilities and measure the likelihood that he will be the Bills' selection on a scale of 1 to 10. The higher the meter reading, the more likely that will be the selection.

Quinnen Williams, DT, Alabama

Carucci: Arguably the best player in the draft, so he can’t be expected to fall to No. 9. He would have an impact on the Bills’ defensive line, but the only way they would get him is to trade up. Meter: 4.0

Skurski: Getting Williams might require a move into the top five. Even with 10 draft picks, that would cost Brandon Beane too much draft capital. If he falls out of the top five, though, Beane will at least explore the option. Meter: 5.0

Ed Oliver, DT, Houston

Carucci: There are negatives — lack of ideal height, a decline in production from 2017 and a very public and heated in-game argument with his head coach — but his immense talent is undeniable. Fills a big need. Meter: 8.0

Skurski: The big question lately is whether he will be around at No. 9. Some plugged-in national reporters have him going as high as No. 3. If he lasts, he has to be a consideration. Sean McDermott called interior defensive pressure “critical.” That’s what Oliver brings. Meter: 9.0

Josh Allen, Edge, Kentucky

Carucci: Difference-making edge rusher is something the Bills could use with mostly ordinary production from their defensive ends. Allen won’t fall to No. 9, but could be close enough for reasonable trade. Meter: 4.0

Skurski: The Bills would definitely love to add more juice to the pass rush. Having Josh Allen the quarterback and Josh Allen the edge rusher would be fun, but it would require a move up, and there is some question about scheme fit. Meter: 4.0

Rashan Gary, DE, Michigan

Carucci: He would be a solid need pick who could elevate the D-line. There’s a good chance he will be available when the Bills pick or maybe close enough to where an upward trade might not be all that costly. Meter: 4.0

Skurski: Late reports about a shoulder injury could send Gary sliding down the draft board. Would the Bills want another Shaq Lawson situation on their hands, where they don’t have their first-round pick for some (or all) of his rookie season? I don’t see it. Meter: 3.0

T.J. Hockenson, TE, Iowa

Carucci: His college career says he could be the high-impact tight end the Bills have been seemingly seeking forever. But making him a top-10 pick means he better be the next Rob Gronkowski, which isn’t realistic. Meter: 7.0

Skurski: The Bills added Tyler Kroft in free agency, but Hockenson is in a different class. A do-it-all tight end would be a great addition to Brian Daboll, who saw firsthand Rob Gronkowski’s impact on the Patriots. Meter: 8.0

Jawaan Taylor, OT, Florida

Carucci: Despite signing six offensive linemen in free agency, including a pair of tackles, the Bills could use a franchise tackle. He could very well be available when the Bills pick or be close enough for a trade. Meter: 7.0

Skurski: Taylor projects as a right tackle in the NFL. The Bills paid Ty Nsekhe starter money to conceivably play there. If Taylor played the left side, things might be different, but as it is, it’s hard to see where he would fit. Meter: 6.0

Montez Sweat, EDGE, Mississippi State

Carucci: Concerns over a heart condition discovered during the NFL scouting combine has reportedly prompted some teams to remove him from their draft boards. The risk seems too great for a first-round pick. Meter: 3.0

Skurski: An enlarged heart has likely taken Sweat off some draft boards. He’s unquestionably talented, and his combine performance was incredible. Unfortunately, medical concerns make this too big a risk in the top 10. Meter: 4.0

Jonah Williams, OT, Alabama

Carucci: Former guard whose arms are seen by some draft analysts as being too short for him to high-level success as an NFL tackle. But he is a sound technician and should be there at No. 9 to fill a definite need. Meter: 9.0

Skurski: He’s a “process” guy, through and through. Is he big enough to play tackle? He did so in the SEC at a high level, and is well known to Bills offensive coordinator Brian Daboll. A definite possibility. Meter: 9.0

D.K. Metcalf, WR, Ole Miss

Carucci: Remarkable size, strength and freakish athletic ability make him first-round worthy. There are health concerns, but this is a special player. Bills’ need somewhat reduced by FA pick-ups. Meter: 6.0

Skurski: It feels like there should be more buzz about the possibility of Metcalf. The Bills showed in their pursuit of Antonio Brown that they think a No. 1 receiver is a need. Metcalf could be that. Meter: 7.0

Andre Dillard, OT, Washington State

Carucci: Solid, sound, safe pick that fulfills a significant need. He also is expected to be there when the Bills pick. Meter: 8.0

Skurski: The third of the top three offensive linemen (along with Taylor and Williams), Dillard is viewed as the best pass-blocking left tackle in the class. His selection would be bad news for Dion Dawkins. There’s a good chance Dillard is available. Would he still be after a trade down? Meter: 7.0

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