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View from Vegas: Bills typically do well vs. AFC South teams

The last thing the struggling Houston Texans need is to have quarterback Deshaun Watson watching this game from the sidelines. He’s listed day to day with a chest injury, but then again, aren’t we all?

The Texans have been doing a terrible job protecting him, and if the human piñata is not under center Sunday, it will be quarterback Brandon Weeden, who is 2-11 straight up against the spread in his last eleven NFL starts – but 2-0 with Houston. It doesn’t mask the fact that Houston is wobbling at just 3-12 straight up in its last 15 games, including a pair of overtime wins in its last two games. It is also 1-6 against the spread the last seven games as a favorite of 7 or more points (should Watson play).

Buffalo enters with wins in two of its last three games behind new quarterback Josh Allen. The Bills are 8-3 straight up against the spread in their last 11 battles with AFC South opponents, including 4-0 against those coming off a win.

Watson or not, we’re Bills backers once again today.

The prediction: Buffalo over Houston by 3

Marc Lawrence previews the NFL from a Vegas perspective. You can follow him online at Playbook.com or @MarcLawrence.

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