Egad. The Buffalo Bills are sinking to new lows and sinking rapidly at that.
After allowing 78 points in a pair of lopsided season-opening losses, the Bills are 16-point underdogs Sunday in Minnesota. But before preparing to empty the trash, you should know that NFL non-division underdogs of 16 or more points are 14-6 ATS since 2001.
In addition, the Bills themselves are 13-1 ATS as dogs of more than four points in their second road game of the season. They also are 15-2 ATS in games coming off consecutive double-digit losses when taking on opponents with a winning percentage of .400 or more. The Vikings are 1-0-1.
Minnesota’s record in non-division games under Mike Zimmer is well-documented (33-10-1 ATS), but we’re not into laying enough wood to build a raft in this contest.
In closing, we note that Buffalo, which took 18 points at Miami in 1985, is 0-4 ATS as underdogs of 16 or more points and outscored 160-24 in those games. Gulp.
Prediction: You’re on your own here, but from the "don't hold your breath department": 16-point or larger NFL underdogs are 4-85 SU since 1980, including 0-54 in the last 54 games.