The betting public seems to be losing faith in the Bills.
According to data compiled by Warren Sharp, the three original Las Vegas sports books had the Bills with a win total of 6.8 in May. That total has dropped to 5.9, the biggest drop in the league in that span.
The May total had the Bills projected to finish second in the AFC East and to have more wins than seven other teams. The new total has the Bills projected to finish third in the division with only the Jets (5.8 wins) and the Browns (also 5.8) to finish with fewer wins.
That makes the Bills the most bet against team in that period, per Sharp.
- Bills (was 6.8 wins; now 5.9)
- 49ers (was 8.9 wins; now 8.4)
- Buccaneers (was 6.5 wins; now 6.3)
- Panthers (was 8.9 wins; now 8.8)
- Seahawks (was 7.9 wins; now 7.8)
"I think the Bills were extremely fortunate to win nine games, and their metrics last year were not those of a nine-win team but more like that of six- or seven-win team," Sharp said. "Factor in a much stronger chance for them to lose the turnover battle due to the departure of Tyrod Taylor, factor in a weaker offensive line, and you have a team that will likely underachieve, particularly compared to 2017 expectations.
"One book set their line at 7.5 wins and that is now down to six wins. You rarely see a win total drop by 1.5 wins before training camp starts. Most win totals never move by more than one game all offseason."
Keep in mind the win totals are set largely to encourage bettors to put money down on either side.