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What Vegas says vs. what we think about how many starts Bills QB Josh Allen makes

When will Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen make his first start and how many games will he end up playing as a rookie?

Bovada recently released its first prop bets for the 2018 NFL season, and among them, was the over/under on games started by the rookie quarterbacks.

Here is the rundown:

  • Josh Allen – 10.5
  • Baker Mayfield – 9.5
  • Josh Rosen – 8.5
  • Sam Darnold – 5.5
  • Lamar Jackson – 0.5

Here is Buffalo News Bills writer Jay Skurski’s take on when Allen will make his first start:

The Bills are shaping up to have an open competition for the starting job, which is how it should be. If Allen proves in training camp and the preseason that he is clearly the best option, then he should play. The good news is, he won’t be forced to. The signing of AJ McCarron gives the Bills a good Plan B. I’m not as down on McCarron as most seem to be, and wouldn’t rule out the possibility of him being, well, good.

I’m tempted to say Allen will start the season opener, but I’ll go with Week 5. Here’s why: The Bills open with three of their first four games on the road. That’s a tough ask for any team. Giving Allen that month to see the NFL game from the sideline makes sense.

If the offense struggles, the team can make the move to Allen when it returns home Oct. 7 against Tennessee. With the bye not coming until Week 11, it’s too late in the season at that point to make the switch. Doing so in Week 5 would give Allen valuable development time and show the front office what the team needs to add around him next offseason.

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