No other quarterback prospect in this year's draft class throws the football as hard as Josh Allen. During the NFL Scouting Combine, radar guns clocked Allen's fastball at 62 mph, the fastest throws recorded since 2008, according to Ourlads.com.
But you know who else hit 60 mph during his combine throwing session? Bills' backup tight end Logan Thomas, back in 2014. So arm talent isn't all that matters when projecting a college quarterback's NFL potential.
"Those who actually evaluate talent in the league for a living, or have done so for any length of time, will tell you they need to see more. Much more," Vic Carucci writes in the latest installment of our Path to the Passer series exploring the importance of passing velocity when evaluating quarterbacks. "Of course, they value arm strength. Their challenge is resisting the temptation to overvalue it."
NFL Draft Preview: Carucci ranks the Top 10 quarterbacks in a strong class.
Jay Skurski's mailbag: Giants' decision at No. 2 will have a big impact on Buffalo.
As we approach the draft, the [BN] Blitz newsletter will feature a reader question answered daily by a member of our team. You can leave questions in the comment section below. Here's today's Q&A with Jay Skurski.
B Chells asks: How can a playoff team get jammed this much regarding their schedule – one night game, 15 of 16 at 1 p.m., two of opening seven at home? #joke
Jay: From a competitive standpoint, there is no doubt this is a challenging schedule for the Bills, who have never before had to play five of their first seven games away from home. That’s a tough ask of any team.
After that stretch is a Monday night home game against the Patriots, not the team to try and get back on track against.
From a fan’s perspective, having just two afternoon home games in Orchard Park the first two months of the season – when the weather is decent enough to be outside – is a big disappointment. The people in charge of selling tickets at One Bills Drive surely don’t care for it, either. If the team gets off to a tough start, those December home games will become a challenge to sell.
As for the 1 p.m. starts, I don’t really care about that. The Bills aren’t playing in the Mountain or Pacific time zones this year, so that cuts down on the possible 4 p.m. starts. How much does it really matter if the game starts at 1 or 4? (From a selfish standpoint – woo hoo! Early-afternoon starts are much friendlier on newspaper deadlines than late games.)
The Bills also have to wait a long time for their bye in Week 11, the penultimate weekend teams can be off. That’s probably later on the calendar than they would like.
The schedule isn’t without any benefits, though. The Bills got the home prime-time game so many of their fans have been asking for. They also avoid having to play on Thursday night, which players hate.
Additionally, with all those road games early, the team will enjoy home-field advantage late, with four of the final six games after the bye week at New Era Field. If you’re a glass-half-full type, that could work to the Bills’ advantage if they are in the playoff hunt.
I don’t share that optimism. In my game-by-game predictions, I had the team going 6-10. Obviously, plenty will change between now and the start of the season, so I’m not signing that in pen, but at the moment I don’t see a playoff team.
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