Today's conditions are ripe for some heavy lake-effect snow in Western New York.
One problem: Lake Erie is almost entirely frozen.
That means heavy lake-effect snow will fall east of Lake Ontario in the snow-prone Tug Hill Plateau. In Buffalo, just some penny ante snow showers are expected today.
The next chance for a significant snow in Buffalo comes Friday, the National Weather Service said.
Forecasters said latest models suggest that "a long-duration snow event" could start as early as Friday morning and persist into the evening and even into Saturday. Another storm system tracking near the area could bring more light snow later in the weekend as well, the weather service said.
"Widespread accumulations during this period look to be on the order or at least a few inches," the weather service said. "The potential is there fore more significant snowfall accumulations."
In the meantime, expect below-average cold to continue for a couple more days.
Today's high is forecast near 20 degrees. With breezy southwest winds, it'll feel more like it's in the single digits.
Less than an inch of new snow is possible today, forecasters said.
There's a 30 percent chance for snow showers tonight with overnight lows near 12 degrees.
Then, snow showers become increasingly likely later Friday morning, forecasters said.
The weather service issued a "hazardous weather outlook" about the possibility of some accumulating snow starting Friday. During the day in the metro Buffalo area, expect a couple of inches of snow.
The weather service said there's a 90 percent chance for more snow Friday night and then 70 percent for Saturday and Saturday night and 60 percent for Sunday.
Temperatures will reach into the mid-20s Friday and into the lower 30s over the weekend, the weather service said.
On Wednesday, another 3.4 inches of snow fell at the Buffalo Niagara International Airport, the weather service reported.
That made it the ninth day with measurable snow out of the previous 10 days.
It was also enough to push the city's seasonal snow total over 75 inches, which is now more than 9 inches more than normal by this point in the year.