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Minor flooding reported as 2nd 'January Thaw' ends; snow, cold tonight

The second January thaw in as many weeks wasn't as warm but stayed around a little bit longer this time.

But the three day warm-up comes to a screeching halt today as temperatures dive back below freezing and raindrops turn back to snowflakes, the National Weather Service forecasts.

Here's what the weather service says to expect:

A flood warning was in effect through 6:15 p.m. in central Erie County as water levels in creeks rose and ice jams formed, according to the weather service.

Cayuga Creek in Lancaster was above flood stage overnight into this morning. (NOAA)

The Erie County Department of Public Works reported minor flooding was reported in Eden on New Oregon between Belcher and Boston roads and on Shadagee Road between Bauer Road and Route 20. Minor flooding was also reported Rt. 240 near Davis Hill in Aurora and on the corner of Wagner and Wyandale roads in Springville. "Signs have been posted and the road is passable," public works officials tweeted about the conditions in Aurora and Springville.

Just before 5 a.m., authorities reported flooding along Cazenovia Creek in Cazenovia Park in West Seneca, the weather service said. "Water levels also continue to fluctuate along other area creeks including Buffalo and Cayuga Creeks, and there remains an imminent risk of ice jam flooding along those creeks as well," the warning said

Some of the locations forecast said can expect to see flooding include areas next to Cazenovia, Buffalo and Cayuga Creeks in Buffalo, Cheektowaga, West Seneca, Depew, Lancaster, and Elma.

A flood watch remains in place until 7 p.m. for all of Western New York.

It'll be windy today with gusts from the southwest of about 40 mph.

Rain showers are expected before 5 p.m. as temperatures drop from a high near 50 degrees at daybreak through the 40s and down to the mid-30s by dinnertime.

Rain should start turning over to a mix of rain and snow by late afternoon and is expected to become all snow during the evening.

Overnight lows tonight are forecast to bottom out in the low 20s with snow. Less than a half-inch is possible in the Buffalo metro area, forecasters said.

Some lake-effect snow could develop later Tuesday, especially in the higher elevations, the weather service said.

Some snow is expected to develop behind the passage of a cold front today. The heaviest accumulations are expected south of Buffalo where some lake-effect snow showers are expected to develop. (NWS Buffalo)

The forecast becomes more seasonal for Wednesday and Thursday as colder air returns behind Tuesday's passing cold front.

There's a 30 percent chance for snow showers Wednesday with a high expected in the upper 20s and am overnight low in the teens.

Mostly sunny conditions return Thursday, but the high will stay in the mid-20s, forecasts show.

Weather service forecasts show the next warm-up could come as early as Friday with a high in the low 40s.

Weekend temperatures are also forecast in the 40s.

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