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First above-freezing temperature since Christmas recorded this AM; mid-week thaw forecast

The last time the mercury in Buffalo rose above the freezing mark was a 33-degree reading on Christmas Day.

It happened for the first time in 2018 at 6:05 a.m. today, according to National Weather Service data, when the thermometer toe-touched 33.

It is expected to reach into the mid-30s today.

By Thursday, a brief but exaggerated warm-up is also forecast. How does 52 degrees sound?

Here's a quick peek at what to expect over the next few days:


A couple inches of new snow is expected across parts of Western New York by early this afternoon in association with the arrival of a shortwave trough. (NWS Buffalo)

Today's high temperatures will reach into the mid-30s, the weather service said.

In exchange for the warmer temperatures, there will be a trade-off: more snow.

Forecasters call for accumulations of 1 to 2 inches in the Buffalo area. And, it'll be windy with blowing snow.

Southwest winds gusting over 40 mph are possible. That will make it feel like it's in the low 20s.

The 13-day streak with sub-freezing temperatures is tied for 43rd on Buffalo's all-time list dating back to 1870.

The longest was: get this, 45 straight days, from late December 1976 to early February 1977. That included the infamous Blizzard of '77.

Latest snowfall totals: NT, Buffalo airport lead the way


A 40 percent chance for snow showers, otherwise mostly cloudy with lows in the upper 20s.

Forecasters said it'll stay breezy. Less than an inch of new snow is forecast.


Seasonal. Mostly sunny with a slight chance for morning snow. High of 30 degrees.

Overnight lows are expected in the upper teens.


The mercury makes it above freezing again late Wednesday morning, and it is expected to stay there until late Friday evening, forecasts show.

A 40-degree day is forecast with a 50/50  chance for rain showers in the afternoon.

It'll stay warm overnight with a 50/50 chance for rain. The temperature isn't expected to drop below 40, the weather service said.

It will be Buffalo's first 40 degree since it hit 44 degrees on Dec. 19, 2017.


The real warm-up comes on Thursday with chances for widespread rain and a high of 52 degrees forecast.

Temperatures are expected to be unseasonably warm for a change on Thursday with daytime highs in Buffalo in the 50s. (National Weather Service)

Significant snow melt is expected, the weather service pointed out in its hazardous weather outlook.'

"This will increase the chance of flooding Thursday night and Friday, especially from ice jams," the weather service said.

Temperatures will stay in the upper 30s overnight with a 70 percent chance for rain showers.


Showers remain in the forecast with highs in the low 40s.

Early forecasts suggest another cold weekend awaits.

"The brief mid-week January thaw crashes back to reality by the upcoming weekend," the weather service said.

Longer-term projections forecast that the last half of January will be above-normal for temperature for most of the Lower 48 states, including the Buffalo Niagara region.

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