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Probability index: Bills' playoff odds rise to low 30s after beating Chiefs

The Bills got back over .500 with their win against the Chiefs and remain tied for a wild-card spot. What are the their playoff chances looking like?

Simulations from the New York Times, FiveThirtyEight and the betting site now give the Bills roughly a one-in-three chance to make the playoffs.

Here are their latest breakdowns for the Bills entering their Week 13 game against the Patriots:

Odds to make the playoffs

New York Times: 35 percent (last week: 24 percent).
FiveThirtyEight: 31 percent (last week: 17 percent).
Betlab Sports: 29.37 percent (last week: 16 percent).

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Odds to win the division

New York Times: 4 percent (last week: Less than 1 percent).
FiveThirtyEight: 2 percent (last week: 1 percent).
Betlab Sports: 1.39 percent (last week: 0.5 percent).

Odds to win the Super Bowl

FiveThirtyEight: 1 percent (last week: Less than 1 percent).
Betlab Sports: 0.07 percent (last week: 0.1 percent).

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The Eagles (10-1), Patriots (9-2) and Steelers (9-2) have the highest playoff chances, scoring 99 percent or better on each site.

The New York Times' simulators, which are interactive, say a win this week against the high-flying Patriots would put the Bills' playoff odds back in the vicinity of 50 percent.

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