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Probability Index after Week 4: How likely are the Bills to make the playoffs?

The NFL season is heading to Week Five, and the Bills are 3-1 after a victory against the Atlanta Falcons.

The betting site has used its data and simulates the season 10,000 times to come up with a weekly Probability Index. The index uses team projections and adjusts for strength of schedule.

The Bills made a huge jump and are now projected

Win division: 31.24 percent

Make playoffs: 54.67 percent

Win Super Bowl: 1.83 percent

The Patriots remain the favorite to win the AFC East at 66.13 percent, but they have been overtaken by the Pittsburgh Steelers with the highest probability to make the playoffs at 92.62 percent and win the Super Bowl at 18.23 percent.

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