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Probability Index: How likely are Bills to make the playoffs?

The NFL season is heading to Week Four, and the Bills have a winning record at 2-1.

The betting site has used its data and simulates the season 10,000 times to come up with a weekly Probability Index. The index uses team projections and adjusts for strength of schedule.

Here are the figures for the Bills after three weeks:

Win division: 12.5 percent

Make playoffs: 31.83 percent

Win Super Bowl: 0.7 percent

Among teams with a winning record, the Bills are among the least likely to make the playoffs, according to the site: Rams (23.4 percent), Bills (31.8 percent), Redskins (33.4 percent).

The Patriots remain the favorite to win the AFC East at 84.51 percent, make the playoffs at 91.22 percent and win the Super Bowl at 19.88 percent.

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