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'Dramatic warming trend' means temps near 80 next week

Days are numbered for chilly, soggy conditions in the Buffalo Niagara region.

As of this morning, that magic number is 3½.

National Weather Service forecasters say an upper level ridge of dramatically warmer air will build from the south starting early next week. But, there's another cool, wet weekend to endure first.

By late Wednesday, anomalously warmer air will rule the East, forecast maps show. (

"The main highlight (between Monday night through Thursday) will be a dramatic warming trend, which will push our temperatures back up to levels more typical of early summer," forecasters at the National Weather Service said.

The turn toward the warm-up starts on Monday with mostly sunny skies and temperatures in the lower 60s.

By Tuesday, the mercury will reach 70 degrees with upper 70s forecast on Wednesday and Thursday of next week, the weather service forecast shows.

Mostly sunny conditions are forecast to prevail during this time with about a 30 percent chance for showers and thunderstorms by Thursday.

May, thus far, has been colder and wetter than most.

The 3.47 inches of rain recorded so far this month is the third wettest start to May since 1870 (3.52 inches in 1890 and 4.51 inches in 1989).

It's more than three times the rainfall that normally falls between May 1 to 11, according to weather service data.

And, for 10 consecutive days, temperatures at Buffalo have run below normal.

The average monthly temperature so far – 47.5 degrees – is more than six degrees colder than the average first 11 days in May.

That trend will continue through the weekend.

Rain and showers are in the forecast both Saturday and Sunday with temperatures only in the mid 50s.

The average high temperature is 66 degrees.



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