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A 'spring forward, back to winter' kind of weekend on tap

The upcoming weekend will feel a lot more like mid-January than early March.

On the bright side, it will be an hour shorter too. Daylight Saving Time kicks in at 2 a.m. Sunday.

Sunset in Buffalo will be pushed past 7 p.m. for the first time since Sept. 28 making it look like spring, but it will come with "mid-winter cold," the National Weather Service reported.

The average temperature from Friday to Monday will be about 17 degrees. The last time there were three days in a row with average readings below 20 degrees was Jan. 5 to 8. (National Weather Service)

The cold blast will be generated by an airmass coming from Siberia, forecasters said.

A strong ridge over the Bering Sea near Alaska "will help direct a cross-polar flow of Siberian air across Canada and towards the Great Lakes."

It will travel around the western side of strong upper-level low pressure centered over Québec.

The Arctic blast will also help generate some lake-effect snowfall too.

There will be a northwest flow, so the Southern Tier and areas southeast of Lake Ontario will bear the brunt of the heaviest snows, which could connect to waterbodies like Lake Huron and Georgian Bay, the weather service said.

Three to six inches of total snowfall is expected between Friday afternoon and Saturday night are forecast across the Chautauqua Ridge.

"Outside of the most favorable lake-effect areas, snow showers will be more scattered in nature, with much more limited accumulations," forecasters said.

But everyone will get the biting cold.

The coldest airmass since early January will invade Canada, the Great Lakes region and New England this weekend, forecast models show. (

Daytime highs between Friday and at least next Wednesday are forecast to stay below freezing with the coldest days coming Saturday (19 degrees) and Sunday (20 degrees).  The average high for this time of year is the low 40s.

Overnight lows will be close to 10 degrees Friday, Saturday and Sunday nights, forecasters said. Mid-March temperatures normally only drop into the mid 20s overnight.

Given Buffalo's warmest February on record, you have to go all the way back to the week after New Year's to find temperatures this cold for this long in Buffalo.

The last time Buffalo's average daily temperature dropped below 20 degrees for at least two days in a row was Jan. 5 to 8, according to weather service records.



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