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Lake-effect snow in the forecast?

You may have dropped your iced cappuccino on your cargo shorts this hot, humid week upon seeing a Buffalo News article with the headline: “Lake-effect snow forecast for Buffalo-Niagara region next week” making the rounds on Facebook.

Fear not. Buffalo isn’t in for a September Surprise. The article was written by The News’ T.J. Pignataro back in April. It’s not exactly clear why this story popped up on Facebook but it’s just the kind of thing that could happen here and that may be why thousands of readers clicked on the link to the article.

Sure, climate change is taking its toll around the globe and the Western New York region is still in the midst of an especially hot summer and lingering drought.

And this is Buffalo, right?

But no, it isn’t going to snow next week.

“Not likely. No,” said Aaron Reynolds, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service in Buffalo.

Any chance at all?

“Zero,” he assured.

“In the past, we did have an October surprise so there is the potential in October,” Reynolds said, recalling the 2006 storm that dumped nearly two feet of snow on Buffalo on Oct. 12 and into the next day, sending tens of thousands of trees that hadn’t lost their leaves yet crashing to the ground.

Normally, Buffalo doesn’t get its first measurable snow until the latter half of November or even early December, he said.

Lake-effect rain, however, is certainly possible, he said.

Showers and thunderstorms are in the forecast for Saturday into Saturday night, with as much as three quarters to an inch of rain possible. The rain is expected to subside Sunday and temperatures will start cooling off next week, with highs mostly in the 70s. Tuesday’s high is 80.

So don’t worry about finding your mittens and unearthing the snow shovel from the garage.

Not yet.


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