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Siena poll: New Yorkers say Dems will win State Senate on Clinton’s coattails

ALBANY – A strong majority of registered New York voters believe Donald Trump’s place at the top of the Republican ticket this November will not help Republicans maintain control of the State Senate, a new poll has found.

A Siena College poll released Wednesday said voters, by a two-to-one margin, believe the race between Trump and Democrat Hillary Clinton will end up helping Democrats take over the 63-member State Senate.

Whether the snapshot of voters’ opinions holds up in November remains to be seen. The vagaries of Albany further complicate matters: The Democrats could win more State Senate races, but the Republicans could still maintain at least partial control if they cut, as they have in the past, deals with several breakaway Democrats.

“Voters overwhelmingly say both that Trump will not help Republicans hold the Senate and that Clinton will help Democrats regain control,’’ Siena poll spokesman Steve Greenberg said.

Incumbency gives some comfort to state senators in the new poll: 46 percent of respondents said they would vote again for their own state senator, while 39 percent said they prefer someone else. The poll did not ask if the respondents knew the name of their state senator.

The poll does come in a state where there are 5.3 million enrolled Democrats and 2.6 million Republicans. Siena released a poll Tuesday showing Clinton with a 30-point edge over Trump among New York voters.

Among Republican respondents, 50 percent believe Trump will help the GOP retain the Senate this fall, while 43 percent said he will not. Forty-six percent of Republicans also said they believe Clinton’s placement at the top of the Democratic ticket this fall will help Democrats take over the Senate.

Broken down by political ideology, the polls shows that 50 percent of self-described conservatives believe Trump will help the GOP retain the Senate; that view slides to 27 percent among moderates and 19 percent among liberal voters.

There has been much hand-wringing about the impact of the Clinton-Trump election on the Senate and what is shaping up as another pitched battle by Democrats and Republicans for control of the Senate.

A Democratic takeover would give the party every power seat in Albany: both houses of the Legislature, as well as all four statewide government posts.

Pollsters interviewed 717 registered voters; 48 percent were Democrats, 23 percent were Republican and 26 percent were not enrolled in a party or were members of other parties. The poll has an overall margin of error of 4.3 percentage points.

The percent of New Yorkers who think Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo is doing a good job as governor is still running below 50 percent, according to the poll. Forty-three percent view his job performance favorably, and 55 percent view it unfavorably. Fifty-three percent have a favorable opinion of him, down slightly from a June poll. Asked if they would vote for Cuomo if he runs for a third term in two years, 46 percent said yes, and 47 percent said they want someone else.

The poll also found United States Sen. Charles E. Schumer, a Democrat, leading his Republican opponent, Wendy Long, 63 percent to 24 percent.


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