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Chance of rain Monday, but it’s no drought buster

The Buffalo area has “roughly a 50-50 shot” at some rain Monday, but it won’t come anywhere near breaking the drought that has gripped Western New York this summer, National Weather Service meteorologist Kirk Apffel said Saturday.

“Most areas would get less than a quarter of an inch,” Apffel said of Monday’s possible rain, currently expected to occur with the passage of a cold front around midday.

Not that it’s a powerful cold front. After predicted high temperatures of 82 Sunday and 84 Monday, a high of 79 is forecast for Tuesday. Temperatures will rise gradually for the rest of the week, reaching the upper 80s by Friday, which is the next time the long-range forecast includes any chance of rain.

“It takes a long time for drought conditions to develop and it takes a long time for them to be alleviated,” Apffel said. “In the Buffalo area, we’re running (rainfall) deficits of 6 to 8 inches.” That precipitation deficit dates back to March, he added.

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