Far above those clouds that will bring an inch of rain today, the sun is smiling on the Buffalo Niagara region.
The track of a deep cyclonic storm system that spawned tornadoes in the Gulf states overnight is racing northward today.
On the western side of it, places like Illinois and Indiana are under blizzard warnings today where a foot of snow and wind gusts over 40 mph are forecast to combine.
East of the Buffalo Niagara region, drenching rains of two inches or more are expected in the nation's capital today and flood watches are posted.
Although steady rain is expected here all day, the track of the storm is forecast to bring the center of the low directly over Western New York.
Forecasters say that will, in many ways, mimic the effect that the "eye of a hurricane" where the weather inside the deep area of low pressure is a lot calmer than on its edges.
Here's what the next 36 to 48 hours looks like for the Buffalo Niagara region:
Now to 4 p.m.: steady rainfall ☔️. More than three-quarters of an inch of rain is projected in Buffalo during this time. Temperatures will climb into the low 40s under east winds of about 15 mph.
4 p.m. to 4 a.m. Thursday: more rain ☔️ -- about one-quarter inch in Buffalo. That will bring the total above an inch overall. Some ⚡️thunder⚡️ might be mixed in through about 11 p.m. as the storm system draws closer. The wind shifts and becomes more southerly about midnight as the center of the storm crosses the region. Temperatures remain in the 40s.
4 a.m. to 3 p.m. Thursday: rainfall ☔️ continues. More than 0.13 inches is forecast during this time. Temperatures begin dropping out of the 40s and into the upper 30s. Winds ? start to pick up about 9 a.m., first from the southwest, then becoming more westerly. They'll gust above 30 mph for most of the day, the forecast shows.
3 p.m. Thursday to 8 a.m. Friday: rain turns over to snow as temperatures plunge from 38 degrees about 2 p.m. Thursday down to the freezing point by 5 p.m. as northwesterly flow sets up. The mercury bottoms out at 18 degrees by 5 a.m. ❄️ More than two inches of snow ❄️ is expected to fall in Buffalo. The wind ? gusts finally start to dissipate by about 5 a.m. Friday. It'll feel frigid with wind chills about daybreak Friday hovering around zero degrees.