If there was ever a year to have an extra day in February, this looks like the one.
While Punxsutawney Phil remains aslumber for two more weeks, human forecasters are busy punching up data and seem to be in agreement that February 2016 will look entirely unlike last year's version of the month in the Buffalo Niagara region.
NOAA's Climate Forecast System is showing February 2016 running about 8 degrees above-average for temperature across the Great Lakes.
AccuWeather projects Buffalo's thermometer will rise into the 40s for half of the month's days.
You remember last February? It was the coldest month in Buffalo. Ever.
The entire month never made it above freezing.
There were 10 days of subzero readings.
The average monthly temperature was just 10.9 degrees: more than 15 degrees below average.
And, at least 20 inches of snow on the ground for the last 24 days of the month.
If the forecast models bear out, you might barely lift a snow shovel this year.
And even mittens could be optional.