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More rain Thursday, Sunday may push totals near average

The soggy weather has helped replenish creeks and turn lawns greener across Buffalo Niagara.

But even with all of the rain – 5.15 inches have fallen since May 30 – the area remained nearly 2 inches below average for precipitation in 2015, according to the National Weather Service.

“To say it’s ‘excessively wet,’ is a little bit of a stretch,” said Dave Zaff, meteorologist at the National Weather Service.

But after four months of drier-than-normal conditions, the last three weeks have been anything but arid.

For 146 consecutive days there wasn’t a day when precipitation – in rain or melted snow – totaled one-half inch or more.

That’s the fourth-longest run ever recorded in Buffalo.

But, it came to a screeching halt on May 31 when a day-long deluge dropped 2.44 inches of rain on the region.

Not only did the rainfall obliterate the daily record, but it turned May from an abnormally dry month to a wetter one than normal. And it cut in half Buffalo’s year-to-date precipitation deficit.

It marked the beginning of the recent pattern of wet weather.

It was also the first of four days with at least one-half inch of rain.

The region’s weather pattern has brought alternating warm and cold fronts through every couple of days. That’s expected to continue at least through this week.

“It is fairly typical,” Zaff said.

The recent pattern, which made the first-half of June nearly one-third of an inch wetter than average, repeated bouts of showers and thunderstorms and further cut into the deficit for the year. As of Tuesday afternoon, 2015 was 1.94 inches drier than the average year through June 16.

The forecast calls for a sunny and dry Wednesday with temperatures in the 70s. But more showers and potentially heavy thunderstorms Thursday could add to rain totals and – depending on the track of Tropical Storm Bill – more heavy rain Sunday may pull Buffalo even closer to the overall year-to-date precipitation average by the end of weekend.

Bill made landfall about 12:45 p.m. Tuesday off of the coast of Texas. Forecasts show it’s expected to track north and east as the week progresses.

email: tpignataro@buffnews.com

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