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Who'll start the rain?

Tuesday is the 233rd day in a row there's been less than 0.75 inches of rain recorded at the Buffalo Niagara International Airport's weather station.

That's good enough for sixth on the all-time list in Buffalo's recorded weather history for longest stretches without that amount of rain.

But, it could fall three days shy of fifth place, which was set in 1998-99.

That's because heavy rain is in the forecast Wednesday, the National Weather Service reports.

Showers and thunderstorms during the morning hours and headed into the afternoon "will have the potential to produce very heavy, slow moving downpours that could result in localized downpours that could result in localized flooding," the weather statement reported.

Later in the day, another round of thunderstorms might result in strong, even "damaging" wind gusts, according to the weather service.

"It kind of depends on where those thunderstorms hit," said Judy Levan, the warning coordination meteorologist at the National Weather Service in Buffalo, about whether the streak is in jeopardy. "If one of these thunderstorms happen at the airport, it will break it."

"Tomorrow is probably the most likely day," she said. "If not tomorrow, then Saturday."

That's when a strong cold front is expected to bring more showers and thunderstorms.

Meanwhile, temperatures are forecast to be in the low 70s Wednesday and Thursday before temperatures and humidity start building later in the week ahead of that expected front Saturday.

How low has precipitation been around Buffalo lately?

As of the end of Monday, only 0.75 inches of rain fell at Buffalo for the entire month of May. That's nearly 2 inches below normal.

For the year, it's been 31 percent drier than average.

Since Jan. 1, less than 10 inches of precipitation fell at Buffalo (9.88 inches). That's almost 4.5 inches below normal.

The last time at least 0.75 inches of rain fell in Buffalo was Oct. 5, 2014 when 1.2 inches was recorded.

Here's a look at the all-time list of consecutive days of relative dry conditions in Buffalo (less than 0.75 inches of precipitation):

1 379 days 1934-35
2 255 days 1895
3 251 days 1918-19
4 238 days 1908-09
5 237 days 1998-99
6 233 days 2014-15
7 228 days 1930-31
8 226 days 1887-88
9 219 days 1919-20
10 218 days 1941





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