The Buffalo Bills will finish 8-8 in 2015, according to the statistical mavens at Football Outsiders.
That puts them in third place in the AFC East, behind the New England Patriots and Miami Dolphins.
Football outsiders founder Aaron Schatz, who wrote the article for ESPN, calls the Dolphins a "hot sleeper Super Bowl contender" for 2015 and projects them to win the AFC East with an 11-5 record, a game ahead of the Patriots.
Schatz's reasoning for picking the Dolphins to win the division centers on a few different factors: No. 1, he expects Miami's awful special teams to be closer to the league average this season. No. 2, the addition of defensive tackle Ndamukong Suh to the defense, whom he calls "perhaps the most important free agent of the offseason."
Thirdly, the four-game suspension of New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady will hurt his team's record in the first quarter of the season.
As for the Bills, Schatz writes: "That suspension also gives a small boost to the Bills, who play New England in Week 2, but not enough to overcome their general offensive problems. The Bills last year had a bad offense and a great, underrated defense. Now that Rex Ryan is in charge, they are likely to have a bad offense and a great, properly rated defense."
Story topics: Rex Ryan