About a year before he died, Steve Jobs was asked at a conference to predict the future of the market for personal computers.
Back in the late 1970s, as the chief executive and a co-founder of Apple, Jobs had presided over the birth of the PC industry, but then, after blockbuster sales of the iPhone and the iPad, he had taken to describing the tech business as entering the “post-PC” era.
Did he really believe that desktop and laptop computers were going extinct?
He reached for an analogy. “When we were an agrarian nation, all cars were trucks, because that’s what you needed on the farm,” Jobs said. But as farming died off and people in urban areas began to buy automobiles, the auto market split into distinct categories. There were easy to use, relatively maintenance-free cars for everyday drivers, and powerful, specialty vehicles like trucks for people who needed to get stuff done.
Laptops and desktops “are going to be like trucks,” Jobs predicted. “They’re still going to be around. They’re still going to have a lot of value. But they’re going to be used by one out of x people.”
Four years later, Jobs’ predictions have pretty much panned out. Benedict Evans, an analyst at the venture capital firm Andreessen Horowitz, estimates the number of smartphones and tablets in use around the world surpassed 2 billion in 2014, eclipsing the number of laptops and desktops in use.
But just as Jobs argued, the rise of mobile devices has not led to the death of desktops and laptops. In 2014, the once-sharp decline in PC sales began to level off. In some ways, last year was a renaissance for the personal computer as our laptops and desktops acquired fantastic new powers that made them better than ever.
We saw the rise of Chromebooks, the Google-powered laptops that run an operating system based on the Chrome Web browser, which often sell for around $200. Because they’re inexpensive and easy to maintain, Chromebooks began to cut into the low end of the computer market in 2014, and they’ve proved especially popular in education, where teachers and parents appreciate their simple design.
Responding to the potential threat posed by Chromebooks, Microsoft released a version of its Windows operating system that manufacturers began to include in inexpensive machines. Hewlett-Packard, for instance, released the Stream 11, a Windows laptop that sells for $200 and comes with a free subscription to Microsoft Office apps and one terabyte of online storage.
You can think of Chromebooks, inexpensive Windows machines, mobile phones and tablets as the cars of the tech business. And this year, low-priced Chromebooks and Windows machines helped the PC industry hold steady against the rise of phones.
But there’s a question of long-term viability. How long can PC makers survive by selling cut-rate devices?
Enter Apple and the new iMac it unveiled in the fall, an expensive desktop with a beautiful, high-resolution screen. If Chromebooks are cars, the new iMac is the world’s best truck. It’s a device optimized for professionals, not casual users, and it blazes a path forward for the once-beleaguered PC industry.
As phones and tablets become more powerful and useful, and as they occupy more of our time, PC manufacturers will have to create computers that take advantage of PCs’ shape, size and power. They’ll have to find new features that can’t be mimicked by smartphones. With a display unmatched by any other computing device you can buy today, the new iMac does just that.
The ubiquity of smartphones had increased the appeal of Macs. Because people are shifting more of their computing to mobile devices, they’re waiting longer to replace their PCs. The longer ownership period helps people justify buying Apple’s high-end machines.
The new iMac has a 27-inch, Retina 5K display, meaning that its screen has about 5,000 lines of resolution horizontally and nearly 15 million pixels across the entire display. That’s about seven times as many as you’d find on a high-definition television set — and a few million more on than the latest ultra-high-definition TVs.
These machines aren’t cheap. The Retina 5K iMac starts at $2,500, which is $700 more than the non-Retina 27-inch iMac. But when you pair that display with a computer powerful enough to handle it, you’re bound to spend more than what you’ll pay for Apple’s all-in-one machine. If you’re looking for a desktop with a screen this good, Apple’s desktop is the way to go.