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On the line from Vegas: Underdog Bills the better team

On a national level, the Buffalo Bills are considered a
doormat franchise.

Due to that reputation, oddsmakers probably don't respect
the Bills as much as they should early each season.

That's suggested by the
Bills winning both of their games so far against the spread and the Bills being 4-1 with the points in their past five
September games.

St. Joe's and Buffalo
State grad Joel Staniszewski, a Las Vegas handicapper and
former oddsmaker, believes the Bills are the better team again Sunday although
they're underdogs to the New York Jets.

The Jets are favored by 2.5 points. The over/under total is
39 points.

"The trends for Buffalo
on the road are not very good," Staniszewski said, "and historically
the Jets have done well against Buffalo. They've been a much better team than the Bills.

"But if you look at each franchise, an unbiased person
or an oddsmaker would think the Bills are in a much better place right
now."

The Jets are favored, Staniszewski pointed out, only because
the game is at the Meadowlands.

"That makes all the difference," Staniszewski
said. "It's going to be interesting to see how EJ Manuel responds on the
road and in a hostile environment.

"I think it's a fairly evenly matched game. If the Jets
were in better shape like they were in previous years, the spread might
be 7.

"The spread says the Bills are a slightly better team than the Jets are
right now, but you've got to give them a little bit of credit because they're
playing at home."

Some trends to consider:

  • The Jets are 5-2 against the spread in their past seven
    games against the Bills.
  • The Bills are 4-10-1 against the spread and 2-13 straight up
    over their past 15 road games.
  • The Jets are 1-4 against the spread in their past five home
    games.

"It will be interesting to see how these trends hold up
with new teams and new quarterbacks," Staniszewski said. "But the
Jets are in disarray."

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