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Light trucks lead Big 3 sales; But analysts say it's not a case of deja vu

Nearly two of every three vehicles the Detroit Three have sold this year are light trucks, but more fuel-efficient engines, smaller crossover models and seasonal patterns indicate this isn't a return to the bad old days, analysts and dealers say.

Pickup trucks, SUVs, crossovers and, in Chrysler's case, minivans accounted for 65.8 percent of General Motors, Ford and Chrysler 2011 sales through November, according to Autodata. That's up from 64 percent last year and the domestic automakers' heaviest truck concentration since 66.3 percent in 2004.

"What is different than in the past for the domestic automakers is that they're selling a lot of smaller SUVs -- Ford Escape was the best-selling compact SUV in November," said Jessica Caldwell, a sales analyst with "Jeep Compass has done really well for Chrysler, as has Equinox for Chevrolet."

For perspective, light trucks made up 46.7 percent of Honda's U.S. sales through November; 45.3 percent of Toyota's; 34.4 percent of Nissan's; and only 20.3 percent of Hyundai's.

Does this matter?

Not much when gas is selling for less than $3.50 a gallon, said Jesse Toprak, an analyst with

"There is a risk if gasoline climbs back above $4 a gallon," Toprak said.

Pickups and SUVs sell well in the winter, especially in northern states. But another factor is driving this light-truck surge: pent-up demand.

"Small businesses, who are a big part of the market for pickups and vans, tend to wait longer for the dust to settle in the economy before they make their purchase decisions," Toprak said.

Some pundits argue that Detroit is falling into old habits.

"For all of the talk of cutting costs to eke profits out of sedans and compacts, trucks are still the profit center," wrote Jordan Weissman, a blogger at the Atlantic Monthly.

That overlooks some major innovations.

First, GM actually increased the percentage of sales from passenger cars this year, thanks largely to its compact Chevrolet Cruze. Second, the powertrains of pickups and SUVs have changed dramatically.

Ken Czubay, Ford's vice president of U.S. marketing, sales and service, boasted that 51 percent of the F-150 pickups sold in November were powered by a V6 engine, rather than a V8.

In addition, certain types of trucks have attractive rebates or discounted financing.

"You can get a decently equipped GMC Sierra for less than $300 a month," said Todd McCallum, operations director for LaFontaine Automotive Group.

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