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Fitzgerald and Winslow have acts worth catching

Who says the NFL is always unpredictable?

There is no such thing as a sure thing, but here are 10 trends to file away when you're setting your fantasy football lineup for Week 10:

*Detroit at Arizona: Cardinals wide receiver Larry Fitzgerald is going to get the football. He has 35 catches for 545 yards in the last five games.

*Atlanta at Carolina: Grass stains seem to agree with Panthers quarterbacks. David Carr, who hasn't practiced this week because of a concussion, has been sacked 11 times for 55 yards in three starts, making his career total 261 for 1,531 lost yards in 5 1/2 seasons. Vinny Testaverde, the 43-year-old who sat out last week with a right Achilles' tendon injury, has been dumped 410 times for minus-2,959 yards in his 21 NFL seasons.

*Jacksonville at Tennessee: Don't count on any Jaguars running backs hitting the century mark. The opposition's top rusher has averaged 46.1 yards against the Titans this year with a high of 81 (Indy's Joseph Addai).

*Cleveland at Pittsburgh: Browns tight end Kellen Winslow has at least 83 receiving yards in six of eight games, including four catches for that total in the opener against the Steelers.

*St. Louis at New Orleans: Saints QB Drew Brees is the anti-Carr. He's been sacked just once in his last five games while throwing for 11 TDs with only one interception in his last four.

*Indianapolis at San Diego: Addai has scored a touchdown in six of his seven games and rushed for more than 100 in three of the last four.

*Dallas at New York Giants: Cowboys QB Tony Romo has at least two TD passes in all four road games.

*Minnesota at Green Bay: Packers QB Brett Favre, who will make his 246th consecutive start, has 691 passing yards in the last two games and has 322 or more in five of the last six.

*Cincinnati at Baltimore: Bengals WR T.J. Houshmandzadeh has at least one TD reception in all eight games and in 12 of the last 14 games, dating to last season.

*Philadelphia at Washington: Eagles RB Brian Westbrook has at least 100 yards from scrimmage in six of the seven games he's played.

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Sorting the Bills

Forgive the Bills if they're licking their chops about Sunday's trip to Miami. The Dolphins are tied for last in scoring defense (30.5 points per game), 31st in rushing defense (160.5 yards) and 23rd in total defense (349.2). Miami (0-8) has yielded 35 points or more in half its games and is the only team to allow two kickoff return TDs. (That sound you hear is Terrence McGee revving his engines.)

In the last two games, Miami has surrendered 131 yards on 23 carries to Brandon Jacobs of the New York Giants, 354 passing yards and six touchdown passes to New England's Tom Brady, nine catches for 138 yards and two scores to the Patriots' Wes Welker and four grabs for 122 yards and two TDs to New England's Randy Moss.

Two of Bills receiver Lee Evans' nine career 100-yard receiving games have come against the Dolphins, as have five scoring receptions covering 20 yards or more. He has TD receptions of 69, 56 and 46 yards at Dolphin Stadium during his career.

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Since you asked

>Q: The top three rushing games of all time have all occurred since 2000. It's just a matter of time until somebody goes for 300 yards in a game. Who has the best chance to do it?

A: The obvious choice would be Minnesota rookie Adrian Peterson, who broke the mark with 296 yards on 30 carries last Sunday against San Diego. He also had 224 yards against Chicago on Oct. 14. I think it has to be a back on a team that does not feature a marquee quarterback. Pittsburgh's Willie Parker, who had games of 213 and 223 last season and has cracked 100 yards 14 times in his last 26 games, qualifies with that in mind -- despite teammate Ben Roethlisberger's record-setting first half Monday night.

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Week Nine eye popper

San Diego Chargers nickel back Antonio Cromartie returned a 57-yard field goal attempt by Minnesota's Ryan Longwell 109 yards for a score at the end of the first half. He caught the ball inches from the end line and it was officially measured at 109 7/8 yards after the game. Cromartie also scored twice the week before against Houston, on a 70-yard interception return and a fumble recovery in the end zone.

e-mail: tborrelli@buffnews.com

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