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The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a severe thunderstorm warning for northwestern Cattaraugus County, southwestern Erie County and northeastern Chautauqua County until 7:45 p.m. At 6:11 p.m., a severe thunderstorm was located near Fredonia, moving northeast at 20 mph, the Weather Service said. Potential hazards include 60 mph wind gusts and half-dolla…

Supercells are long-lived, rotating thunderstorms. They can have life cycles up to and over 60 minutes, and they can reach up to 50,000 feet in the atmosphere; sometimes their tops extend even higher. All supercells are dangerous thunderstorms, with frequent lightning and usually damaging hail. Nearly all especially violent and large, long-track tornadoes come from pare…

Another 19th century record for precipitation was obliterated today in Buffalo. As of 11:30 a.m., the National Weather Service reported a total of 1.41 inches of rain at the Buffalo Niagara International Airport. The former record for the date was set 143 years ago when 1.21 inches of rain fell. Since April 1, it's the fifth daily rainfall record eclipsed. All wer…

Back on April 22, I wrote I was less confident than the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center/CPC that our summer temperatures would run above average, both in June and for June through August. CPC was projecting about a 40 percent probability summer temperatures would run above average for our region in their outlooks at the time. Some of CPC's confidence may…

A lake shore flood watch for Thursday was issued Tuesday night by the National Weather Service for properties along Lake Ontario in Niagara, Orleans and Monroe counties. The watch is in effect from 6 a.m. to 10 p.m. Thursday. The alert from the NWS office in Buffalo said that the combination of high lake levels, moderate northeast winds and high waves could cause floodi…

The nation’s largest city is not sitting pat on rising sea levels. The ravages of Sandy were the wakeup call to get going on planning to mitigate the impacts of inevitably continuing rises in sea level. The worst effects of rising sea level will be felt during the passage of Atlantic storms, including occasional hurricanes, especially at high lunar tides. Sandy caused…

All of Western New York should be on the lookout for storms through tonight as a sharp cold front passes through the region mid-evening, forecasters said. Damaging winds pose the biggest threat, but large hail is also a possibility, forecasters said. A wind advisory will be place from 11 a.m. to 11 p.m. for northern Erie, Niagara, Orleans and Genesee counties. Sca…

Buffalo already struck 80 degrees once this year – on an unseasonably warm April 27. Forecasters project the first back-to-back days in the 80s are in the offing today and Thursday. It would be the first 80-degree tandem since last Sept. 21 and 22. Spurred by "a subtropical airmass," temperatures away from Lake Erie are expected to surge into the mid- to upper 80s …

Wednesday will be warm and windy, according to the National Weather Service. High temperatures today will reach the mid-80s away from the Great Lakes. Forecasters are predicting a high around 86 for Springville, 82 in Niagara Falls and 87 in Olean. In Buffalo, a high is expected around 78 degrees. Winds may gust up to 40 mph this afternoon, the weather service sai…

Warm weather is headed our way – but in the meantime, watch out for hail this afternoon. The National Weather Service issued a special weather statement at 12:39 p.m. Sunday, warning of scattered showers and thunderstorms that could produce pea-sized hail in the afternoon. "Heavy rainfall may also occur briefly within these showers and thunderstorms at times," th…

Unless you live along the shorelines of Lake Ontario, it can be hard to imagine the submerged docks, collapsed breakwalls and streets and parking lots flooded with water. SceniCopter captured some of these scenes with his drone between May 9 and May 10. The 12-and-a-half-minute video showcases the flooding in Greece, N.Y., showing homes and landmarks along Crescent Beac…

Days are numbered for chilly, soggy conditions in the Buffalo Niagara region. As of this morning, that magic number is 3½. National Weather Service forecasters say an upper level ridge of dramatically warmer air will build from the south starting early next week. But, there's another cool, wet weekend to endure first. "The main highlight (between Monday nigh…

Even I had heard if you are outdoors and feel your hair stand on end, you should crouch to reduce your profile and lessen the risk of an immediate strike. The reality: There is zero evidence to support that idea. Get moving to a shelter! Never lie flat on the ground; that increases your contact for conductivity. On average, NOAA reports lightning kills 47 people in t…

The temperature dropped into the upper 20s in places like East Aurora, Delevan, Randolph and Olean this morning, according to the state's new Mesonet system. That's cold enough for a hard freeze. It could happen again tonight in southern Erie and Wyoming counties, forecasters warn. A freeze warning is posted for southern Erie and Wyoming counties from 11 p.m. …

The National Weather Service posted a frost advisory in several counties across the Buffalo Niagara region and a freeze warning in southern Erie, Chautauqua and Wyoming counties. The advisory includes northern Erie, Niagara, Orleans and Genesee counties. It runs from 10 p.m. until 9 a.m. Tuesday, the weather service said. Temperatures in those areas are forecast t…