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Thunderstorms expected to hit Western New York this afternoon and tonight carry a marginal risk of becoming severe with gusty winds, according to the National Weather Service. The region will face a chance of rain most of Friday, with the likeliest period from about 7 to 9 p.m., the weather service said. The rain will come through ahead of a cold front, though today's h…

It will never happen here, but it can get too hot for some airplanes to fly. You may have heard how there have been flight cancellations during the current heat wave in the Southwest. Marshall Shepherd, former American Meteorological Society president and current chairman of atmospheric sciences at the University of Georgia, has just written a refresher article for Forb…

When life deals you hazardous currents, stay out of the water. That's the message from the National Weather Service today. Forecasters issued beach hazards statements for Lake Erie in Erie and Chautauqua counties. The statement cautions that "life-threatening waves and currents are expected" through 11 p.m. tonight. "Stay out of the water and stay away from…

Flash floods and severe thunderstorms may continue in some Western New York counties this evening, according to the National Weather Service. There are flash flood watches for Allegany, Cattaraugus, Chautauqua, Southern Erie and Wyoming counties through midnight. There are severe thunderstorm warnings in most of Chautauqua and Cattaraugus counties until 8:30 p.m. …

I didn’t begin my career in meteorology until some years after I received my college diploma. I had wanted to be a television weathercaster since I was a little boy, struggled through college to get my training and then temporarily chickened out when I graduated. I grew up in the New York area, which is the No. 1 television market in the country. You don’t break in …

A new Harvard study presents evidence that ozone over the United States, especially over the central part of the country, thins during the summer. A quick refresher: ozone in the stratosphere is what protects us and much of life from what would be a deadly dose of ultraviolet radiation from the sun. (Conversely, periodic high ozone levels near the ground develop from hu…

The National Weather Service issued a flash flood watch for much of Western New York through tonight. Heavy showers and thunderstorms are making their way into the area. The slow-moving storms, on top of the heavy rain that hit the area already today, could bring an inch or 2 of rain within an hour. That brings the risk of flash flooding, the weather service said. Th…

Rotten weekend forecasts have gotten a little easier for me, now that I’m working weekends instead of weekdays. How’s that again? For one thing, by the time you see me at 6 p.m. Saturday on WKBW, the weekend is already partially over. All those decades I was the Chief! (pause for effect) Meteorologist, I sometime had to give you bad news about the next weekend for f…

The Greenland ice cap is melting in different places at different rates and, it turns out, in different ways. How much of it will melt in the next century remains an open question. The two least likely scenarios are the best (only minor additional melting) and the worst, in which we lose the whole ice cap. “The truth will lie somewhere in between” is a fitting cl…

May brought another unusually rainy month on top of the wettest April on record. All that precipitation helped to further boost water levels to all-time highs on Lake Ontario and 20-year highs on Lake Erie. It was also the first cooler-than-average May since 2008. Precipitation Following April's form with a few deluges of rain accounting for most of the mon…

Don't stow the sweatshirts and slacks away and break out the beachwear just yet: The first half of June isn't shaping up to be too warm and summery for Buffalo. There will be some sunshine, but temperatures are forecast to remain below normal into the second week of the month, according to forecasters' projections. The mercury will stay in the middle to upper 60s, ac…

A new article from the Yale School of Forestry & Environmental Studies reveals very disturbing trends in the federal flood insurance program. Most of the problems are linked to ongoing and future sea level rises due to global warming, but these problems threaten the existence of the entire program across the nation. Sea level rise in combination with coastal storms are…

A severe thunderstorm watch for most of Western New York, initially issued just before 1 p.m., has been canceled. https://twitter.com/NWSBUFFALO/status/869628464281858048 Forecasters at the weather service said an upper-level area of low pressure will slowly cross the region this week, which will offer chances for showers and thunderstorms. "Some of the storms cou…

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a severe thunderstorm warning for northwestern Cattaraugus County, southwestern Erie County and northeastern Chautauqua County until 7:45 p.m. At 6:11 p.m., a severe thunderstorm was located near Fredonia, moving northeast at 20 mph, the Weather Service said. Potential hazards include 60 mph wind gusts and half-dolla…

Supercells are long-lived, rotating thunderstorms. They can have life cycles up to and over 60 minutes, and they can reach up to 50,000 feet in the atmosphere; sometimes their tops extend even higher. All supercells are dangerous thunderstorms, with frequent lightning and usually damaging hail. Nearly all especially violent and large, long-track tornadoes come from pare…