Don Paul - The Buffalo News

Share this article

print logo

Don Paul

Don Paul is a frequent contributor on weather/climate for The Buffalo News. He is also a staff meteorologist for WKBW and a former chief meteorologist for WIVB.


Weather

The UV index was first developed by Environment Canada researchers (go figure – a northern latitude weather service!) in the early 1990s, and it has been adapted internationally. Virtually all of you have heard of this measure of ultraviolet radiation exposure, but only some of us pay it enough mind. Nearly all types of skin cancer are on the rise, including the most d…

Weather

This is a Facebook post I made on July 9, last summer: “The newest El Niño Advisory released through NOAA July 9 increases probabilities for a stronger El Niño with greater longevity to last through this coming winter. IF -- a big IF -- this occurs, it would lessen probabilities for another excessively cold winter in our part of the region and increase probabilities of…

Weather

Even though we haven’t seen that much lightning around here on all but a few days this year, there is plenty to go around worldwide at any moment. It’s estimated there is an average of 40 lightning strikes per second around the world, with as many as 2000 thunderstorms globally at any moment. NASA estimates about 14.5 thunderstorms occur per year. There is still much…

Weather

On the infrequent occasions when we think Buffalo is HOT, people in many parts of the country would have to stifle a laugh. We average about three 90-degree days a year, have gone through stretches of more than two years in which we’ve had no 90 degree days, and we have never reached 100 degrees … we hit 99, just once. The marine layer from Lake Erie usually protects …

Weather

Our abnormally dry conditions are small potatoes compared to the severe to extreme drought reigning in rainless southern California and much of the west. And our conditions are unlikely to compare to a serious four- to five-year drought that gripped the Northeast in the early- to mid-1960s. That perspective aside, Western New York is suffering from a serious rainfall defi…

Weather

One reason most of Western New York has never experienced an EF-4 or EF-5 monster tornado is the proximity of Lake Erie and its cooler waters during spring and early summer. When the lake surface is cooler than the air mass overhead and over land, as the heated air over land rises, the cooler and denser air above the lakes will rush in on a lake breeze to replace the rise…

Weather

I probably talked about a warming climate more often than other Buffalo TV weathercasters over the years. Yet I still see requests - even occasional outright demands - from advocacy groups that we all need to do it more often. After all, no one can say the topic is unimportant. The basic problem: No one can say the topic is anything but very complex, with elements of unce…

Both the Farmers' Almanac and the Old Farmer’s Almanac — two separate publications — are silly on weather. Both issue essentially worthless detailed forecasts for a year out based on either nothing at all or junk science. Some people take them seriously, but most don’t because they know better. Or, if they don’t, they SHOULD know better. There actually have bee…

Weather

I confess I had difficulty grasping why climate scientists and climate modelers were so confident humankind was the main (not the only) contributor to the global warming that has been occurring for decades. My difficulty, frankly, was due to a degree of ignorance as to how these scientists had reached such a strong consensus. It took some time and some research, but now …

Weather

Don Paul, the meteorologist who retired from Channel 4 earlier this year after more than 30 years on Buffalo TV, is bringing his talents to The Buffalo News as a contributing writer of articles on weather, climate and related sciences. This is the first of those articles. As we enter the muggies season, I can tell you the dewpoint is a more accurate representation of how …

Storm Watchers By John D. Cox Wiley 252 pages, $24.95 Contemporary meteorologists work with a vast database (still incomplete), with a very educated understanding of how the weather works (still incomplete) and with powerful computer models, satellite imagery and Doppler radars. Weather forecasting is more accurate than ever (it's still inaccurate too ofte…

I'm not a seasoned military analyst. My experience was limited to a relatively short tour of duty as a noncombatant junior infantry officer. But even before I graduated the Army Infantry School Officer Basic Course, I knew the success of a military operation could be crippled by a lack of surprise.Are our leaders, including the brilliant (that's not sarcasm) Defense Secret…

THE CHANGE IN THE WEATHER By William K. Stevens Delacorte 320 pages, $24.95"The Coming Global Superstorm" is hitting the bookshelves at the same time as "The Change in the Weather." The former is co-authored by national radio talk show host and fear monger, Art Bell, along with another over-the-top auditor, Whitley Streiber. Which title do you think is the grabbier? Whi…

Michael Kukla's recent column on global warming confuses the strong scientific consensus on global warming with a much weaker consensus on the extent of man's contribution to such warming.The vast majority of meteorologists and climatologists generally agree that significant warming has been under way for about 150 years. In addition to an expanding body of surface and sea…

In Part 4 of last week's depressingly illuminating News series on upstate economic woes, reporter Jerry Zremski made several references to "good" Florida weather, it being allegedly "far less taxing."This is not meant to be one of those patronizing "we're-so-lucky-to-be-here" soliloquies in which Buffalo news and weather people so often indulge. But I do offer a cautionary…