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Don Paul

Don Paul is a frequent contributor on weather/climate for The Buffalo News. He is also a staff meteorologist for WKBW and a former chief meteorologist for WIVB.


As of Friday morning, here is Don Paul's look at the weather for Sunday's Bills-Carolina game in Charlotte. Game temperature: 83-86. Wind: Light NE 5-10. Precipitation: None prior to or during the game. Forecast: Late summerlike. Mostly sunny, warm and somewhat humid. Wind will not be a major factor for the kicking/passing game, though the light wind will lend …

For many, Irma lived up to or exceeded its awful expectations. For others, the end result was less impact than expected. In sum, however, Irma will be the most expensive natural disaster in U.S. history, and may well exceed the most pessimistic expectations on economic impact, not to mention human misery. Farther east in the Atlantic and into the Caribbean, Irma broke t…

As of Saturday afternoon, here is Don Paul's look at the weather for Sunday's Bills-Jets game at New Era Field. Game temperature: 66-68 degrees Tailgate forecast: Tranquil, so the chilly temperature will be less noticeable. Mostly Sunny. 52 degrees at 8 a.m., rapidly rising into 60s by noon. Wind: Near calm in the morning; light NE 6-12 in the afternoon .. no majo…

As of Friday morning, here is Don Paul's look at the weather for Sunday's Bills-Jets game at New Era Field. Tailgate forecast: Starting cool, but very tranquil. Bright sun, light wind (nearly calm). Temperatures rise quickly from low 50s to near 65 by noon. Game temperature: 68 degrees. Warmer in the sunshine. Wind: Light NE, generally under 10 mph in the afternoo…

East of the Caribbean, Irma has already been the strongest hurricane on record in the Atlantic basin. An anemometer on Barbuda recorded a gust of 155 mph before breaking, very early on Wednesday. At the time, top winds of Irma, which moved directly over Barbuda, were estimated at 185 mph with occasional gusts breaking 200 mph. Shortly afterward, as the eye passed overhe…

As of Tuesday afternoon, here is Don Paul's look at the weather for Sunday's Bills-Jets game at New Era Field. Game temperature: 68 degrees. Wind: Light northeast 6-12 mph during the game, possibly picking up a bit late in the game. Precipitation: None prior to or during the game. Forecast: Ideal. Sunny and tranquil. Wind will not be a major factor for the game…

In my article this week about Hurricane Harvey, I noted ongoing warming may not have “caused” Harvey, but could have contributed to the enormity of the unprecedented rainfall by heating waters in the nearby Gulf to above average. That would increase the amount of evaporation into the atmosphere, leading to more “precipitable water” available for rainfall. In sci…

Was the horror of Harvey properly communicated? Yes, the intensity forecast for Harvey could have been better earlier in the week prior to landfall. The intensity picture didn’t spin up well until Thursday, when the National Hurricane Center predicted Harvey would come onshore as a major hurricane, which begins at Category 3. Here is the National Hurricane Center/NHC …

As I write this article, it’s simply too soon to try to predict cloud cover for eclipse viewing on Aug. 21. Yes, there are models that go out that far in time, but forecast skill for cloud cover in this time range, with or without models, is virtually nil for much of the country, including our region. So, I’ll stick to what effects the eclipse may produce, based on …

How can a planet with virtually no air have fascinating weather? Bear with me, and we shall see. Back in the early 1980s when I was working in Detroit, I spent some time with University of Michigan scholar and planetary scientist Thomas Donahue, going through some basics about meteorology on the other planets in our solar system. I recall his touching upon Mercury as be…

This tale might be THE classic unfulfilled moment in life. It's also my daughters’ favorite story from dear old dad. In a previous article, I recounted my presence at the shooting of Brooklyn mob head Joe Colombo. http://buffalonews.com/2017/06/28/from-thugs-to-thunderstorms-the-don-paul-story/ I had a poverty-wage gig working for WNEW Radio’s best reporter in…

I mentioned some personal hypocrisy on the air last Saturday evening. The hypocrisy pertains to not adequately following my own advice about following good sun protection steps consistently enough over the years. Since I was talking about the high UV index I was forecasting for the next day – an easy call – it was a good time to bring it up ... a very good time. In …

Climate models correctly predicted back in the 1980s that warming would be greatest and fastest in the Arctic. Some of the physics in that forecast were simple. As Arctic sea ice melted more quickly during summer months, surface reflectivity of solar energy would change more drastically than anywhere else on the planet. The bright white ice and snow cover reflect much o…

In a recent article, I recounted how I began my TV weather career with a brief stopover at what was probably the worst station in the nation. But one of my most cherished pre-TV jobs was spending more than two years at WNEW Radio in New York. It was the station where Frank Sinatra started; it had the best local newsroom in American radio; it was probably the most sophis…

It will never happen here, but it can get too hot for some airplanes to fly. You may have heard how there have been flight cancellations during the current heat wave in the Southwest. Marshall Shepherd, former American Meteorological Society president and current chairman of atmospheric sciences at the University of Georgia, has just written a refresher article for Forb…