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Snowy weekend, 'high confidence snow event' for next week, forecasters say

Keep gas in your snowblower and your shovels handy.

It could be a snowy week, according to forecasters at the National Weather Service.

First, expect a few inches across Western New York today and Sunday.

Snow showers are in the forecast today with breezy southwest winds.

The high will be in the upper 20s, but it'll feel like it's in the teens with the wind.

Total snow accumulations up to 1 inch are possible, however, there could be more in locally heavy narrow streamers of lake-effect snow east of Lake Erie.

As of mid-morning, one such band was set up north of Buffalo across the Tonawandas, Amherst and Clarence, according to National Weather Service radar.

Radar images showed a band of lake-effect snow impacting the Northtowns this morning. (National Weather Service)

Forecasters at the weather service said "ample breaks in the Lake Erie ice" allowed for some lake-effect snow to fall overnight that was not initially projected by forecast models.

That could continue across parts of the region today, they said.

"Expect any snow off Lake Erie to be spotty in nature," the weather service said.

Chances for snow becomes increasingly likely across the metro Buffalo area overnight into Sunday.

There's a 100 percent chance for precipitation by mid-day Sunday.

Forecasters said that will start in the form of snow and could change over to a mix of rain and snow by mid-afternoon as temperatures warm up into the upper 30s.

A couple inches of snow is possible.

Western New York looks to be in for a mostly snowy Super Bowl Sunday, mesoscale forecast models show. (TropicalTidbits.com)

Snow showers are forecast to continue late Sunday as well and temperatures are expected to drop back into the teens. Another 1 to 3 inches is possible.

The next big weather maker could come by mid-week, forecasters said.

Forecasters are tracking a deepening storm system that is expected to move out of the Plains to the mid-Atlantic states late Tuesday. Forecast models suggest Western New York will be on the cold side of the system.

"Ample Gulf of Mexico moisture will get drawn into this system, resulting in a high confidence for a snow event for Western New York," the weather service said.

Details of the storm should become clearer by Monday.

Then, another round on snow could arrive with a Canadian Clipper system by Friday, they said.

Temperatures next week are generally expected to be in the 20s during the day and teens overnight.

 

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