We have about a week left of the post-Thanksgiving weather honeymoon.
But prepare for things to turn quite wintry late next week, forecasters say.
And, when the weather pattern changes, forecast models suggest it could linger for 10 days or so in the middle of December.
— Ryan Maue | weather.us (@RyanMaue) November 29, 2017
Here's what the National Weather Service says to expect for the last day in November and start of December:
The passage of a cold front make late afternoon showers likely today. Ahead of the front will be southerly winds that will help boost the temperature to about 50 degrees. Winds could gust up to 28 mph around 4 p.m., forecasters said.
Chances for evening showers. Overnight low in the mid 30s.
High pressure returns partly sunny skies to the region. But, it'll be a little cooler with highs in the low 40s, which is right around normal for Dec. 1.
Mostly cloudy skies. High in the mid 40s.
Mostly sunny. High in the mid 40s.
"As we move into the new work week, our weather will trend downhill," the National Weather Service reported.
Highs on Monday and Tuesday are forecast to be in the upper 40s with mostly cloudy skies Monday and showers likely Tuesday.
By midweek, temperatures slide closer to normal, or slightly below-normal, before the real plunge begins later next week, forecasters said.
"It still appears much more certain that a marked change toward colder and snowier weather is in store for the latter half of next week," the weather service said.
It added: "Pronounced ridging builds along the Pacific coast and leads to the development of a fairly deep downstream trough across central and eastern North America, along with the consequent influx of much colder air into our region."
That could set the stage for significant lake-effect snow.
— Patrick Hammer (@pathammer) November 30, 2017
Overall, November will end as a colder-than-average month.
Heading into today, the average temperature for the month was about 39.7 degrees. That's nearly a degree and a half cooler than a normal November.
It probably didn't feel that way because there was hardly any snowfall – just 0.1 inch reported Nov. 10 at the Buffalo Niagara International Airport.
The average November sees about 7½ inches of snow.