View from Vegas: Betting trends and pick for Bills at Chiefs - The Buffalo News

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View from Vegas: Betting trends and pick for Bills at Chiefs

The feeling here is the move back to Tyrod Taylor could provide the impetuous needed for the Bills to regain their footing and move forward. They catch an overrated foe in the Kansas City, which has plenty of problems of its own as the Chiefs enter just 1-4 in their last five games.

The biggest hurdle for Buffalo will be overcoming QB Alex Smith’s sterling 10-1 straight up and against the spread career mark in games against AFC East opponents. That includes 5-0 SU and ATS at home.

Kansas City is 3-0 SU and ATS the last three games in this series, while head coach Andy Reid is 17-6 ATS against AFC East opponents, including 14-3 ATS against sub .750 foes.

The Bills are 2-8 ITS (In The Stats) this season. They are also 0-5 ATS before consecutive home games, and 1-6 ATS coming off an AFC West opponent when facing an AFC West opponent. The good news is Buffalo is 3-0 SU and ATS with triple revenge-exact.

The pick: KANSAS CITY over Buffalo by 11

Marc Lawrence previews the NFL from a Vegas perspective. You can follow him online at Playbook.com or @MarcLawrence.

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