November has settled into its pattern.
For the third time in about a week, a storm system with a trailing cold front today will bring a roller coaster of temperatures and conditions to the Buffalo Niagara region.
Here's what to expect:
The main weather-maker will be the wind ahead of an approaching cold front. Southwesterly winds could gust as high as 50 mph across the Niagara Frontier, according to the National Weather Service.
That prompted the weather service to issue a wind advisory for northern Erie and Niagara counties until 5 p.m.
"Wind gusts of this magnitude could bring down a few tree limbs and power lines resulting in isolated power outages," the weather service reported. "Travel may also become difficult at times in high profile vehicles."
The windiest period is expected between mid-morning and early afternoon.
Otherwise, the southwesterly flow will help to usher in warmer air ahead of the front, which is expected to bring some rain later in the evening.
There will be sun and clouds.
The mercury should make it into the low 50s.
Temperatures are forecast to drop precipitously behind the front from about 46 degrees at 7 p.m. to the freezing point by dawn Wednesday.
Rain showers are expected overnight, mainly before 1 a.m.
Then, as temperatures get colder, some of the precipitation may turn over to snow.
Overnight lows are forecast to be about 32 degrees. With the wind, however, it'll feel like it's in the low 20s.
"A mainly dry day...for Thanksgiving travel," the weather service reported.
There will be an early chance for some snow showers before high pressure builds, eliminating any further precipitation.
It'll remain chilly, however.
Daytime high temperatures are expected to be in the mid 30s with wind chills in the mid 20s.
Winds subside. Overnight lows in the mid 20s.
A "mainly dry" day is forecast in the Buffalo Niagara region, with a slight chance for snow showers later in the day, forecasters at the weather service said.
It'll be mostly cloudy with a high in the upper 30s.
Your #Thanksgiving travel forecast through Thursday morning shows showers/storms for Southeast, rain continuing in the Northwest, and rain/snow showers in the Great Lakes. https://t.co/cZGq8ZhLAT pic.twitter.com/jCEtnJGZtL
— NWS WPC (@NWSWPC) November 21, 2017
The 6 a.m. shopper will need to brave 30-degree weather with wind chills in the 20s, but the morning will warm up quickly.
Forecasts show the daytime high will reach 44 degrees by about 1 p.m.