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View from Vegas: Bills-Chargers betting trends and prediction

The big shakeup in the NFL this week is not Dallas Cowboys owner Jerry Jones’ war of words with commissioner Roger Goodell, it’s the  demotion of quarterback Tyrod Taylor in favor of rookie Nathan Peterman. Even after last week’s red-faced embarrassing home loss to the New Orleans Saints, an upset win would come as no surprise Sunday.

The good news for Bills backers is their 7-2 straight up and against the spread record following an NFC game, including 7-0 both SU and ATS when seeking revenge.

On the other side of the coin, the Bolts are 0-6 ATS in their fifth home game of the season, as well as 1-6 ATS at home following an NFC game. Incredibly, the Chargers have lost 20 games by one possession (seven points or fewer) the last two-plus seasons. The culprit behind the Chargers’ lack of success in close-call games is none other than QB Phillip Rivers, who is 9-18 SU and 6-20-1 ATS as a home favorite of 5 or less points. And speaking of which, to put the final wraps this call we hand it off to this incredible stat: Rivers is 0-6 SUATS in his NFL career as a favorite of 5 or fewer points against AFC East opponents.

The pick: Buffalo over LA CHARGERS by 8

Marc Lawrence previews the NFL from a Vegas perspective. You can follow him online at Playbook.com or @MarcLawrence.

 

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