LeSean Report: Nowhere to run vs. Jets, but optimism for remainder of season - The Buffalo News

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LeSean Report: Nowhere to run vs. Jets, but optimism for remainder of season

LeSean McCoy was bottled up against the Jets in Week 9, as he rushed for just 25 yards on 12 carries.

All of those 25 rushing yards came after contact.

Because he rushed the ball 12 times, that means he averaged 2.08 yards after contact per rush and exactly 0 yards before contact per rush.

He forced one missed tackle against the Jets.

On the season, McCoy is averaging 1.61 yards before contact per rush, which is actually the 10th-highest figure among the 29 backs who've carried the football at least 75 times thus far in the 2017 season.

Through eight games, McCoy has forced 23 missed tackles on 187 touches. Through eight games in 2016, he'd forced 33 missed tackles on 157 touches and had averaged a whopping 2.45 yards before contact per rush.

McCoy and Buffalo's offensive line has already faced the following defenses ranked by Football Outsiders' run defense DVOA (ultimate efficiency metric):

  • Jets 2x (18th)
  • Panthers (3rd)
  • Broncos (2nd)
  • Falcons (29th)
  • Bengals (7th)
  • Buccaneers (22nd)
  • Raiders (24th)

That equates to an average ranking of 15.3.

The Saints currently have the 28th-ranked run defense DVOA.

Starting with Week 10's outing, here are the run defense DVOA of rankings of Buffalo's remaining 2017 opponents:

  • Saints (28th)
  • Chargers (26th)
  • Chiefs (32nd)
  • Patriots 2x (27th)
  • Dolphins 2x (5th)
  • Colts (21st)

That equates to an average ranking of 21.3.

McCoy and the Bills' offensive line will have a prime opportunity at home to get the run game rolling against the Saints. Buffalo is 11-4 in games that McCoy averages 4.5 or more yards per carry. As a team, New Orleans currently allows 4.7 yards per carry.

Stats courtesy of Pro Football Focus and Football Outsiders.

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