The Bills are 3-2 after a loss to the Cincinnati Bengals.
The betting site betlabsports.com has used its data and simulates the season 10,000 times to come up with a weekly Probability Index. The index uses team projections and adjusts for strength of schedule.
Here are the projections for the Bills entering Week Six:
Win division: 17.9 percent
Make playoffs: 38.8 percent
Win Super Bowl: 1.13 percent
The Patriots remain the favorite to win the AFC East at 78.1 percent and have the highest probability to win the Super Bowl at 17 percent. The Pittsburgh Steelers have the highest probability to make the playoffs at 95 percent.