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Tyrod Watch: Escapability Index vs. Panthers, two-game update

Last week I introduced "Escapability Index," a statistic I'll be tracking for Buffalo Bills quarterback Tyrod Taylor this season.

Because context and comparison are vital in analysis, monitoring how often Taylor gets sacked relative to how often I deemed he escaped one makes sense. Here's a quick refresher on the criteria for Escapability Index:

Criteria

  • Not every avoidance of a sack is counted as an escape, because the majority of quarterbacks have enough athleticism or skill in the pocket to avoid minimal to moderate pressure. Escapes come on plays in which I deem only fewer than 20 percent of the league's current starters (six signal-callers: Cam Newton, Russell Wilson, Aaron Rodgers, Marcus Mariota and two others collectively) could have pulled off Taylor's sack avoidance.
  • The outcome of the play after the escape doesn't matter, whether it be a completion, scramble, throwaway and so on. However, an escape will not be counted if Taylor eludes a sack to only be later taken down for a sack on the same play.
  • "Sacks" need to be a defensive player bringing Taylor to the turf. Running out of bounds behind the line of scrimmage will not be counted as a sack.
  • To summarize, an escape is only counted if, by my determination, 80 percent of the starting quarterbacks in the NFL would not have been able to execute the sack avoidance, and if a sack didn't ultimately occur on the same play.

Against the Panthers in Week Two, Taylor's escapability formula was as follows:

  • Escapes: 2
  • Sacks: 2
  • Escapability Index: 0

A week before, Taylor had an EI of +2 after he recorded three escapes and was sacked once. In Carolina, Taylor certainly displayed his athleticism on more than a few occasions, but the majority of those scrambles came when a clear hole was created in front of him by the Bills' offensive line or the Panthers simply ran past him.

In a few instances, Taylor moved from the pocket when I deemed that the majority of quarterbacks could have made the defenders miss to either carry the football past the line or move to create time to throw it.

Through two games, Taylor's escapability formula is as follows:

  • Escapes: 5
  • Sacks: 3
  • Season Escapability Index: +2

This means that, essentially, Taylor has "avoided" two sacks thus far due to his impressive mobility and physical talents.

With Cordy Glenn out and Dion Dawkins and Jordan Mills facing Von Miller and Shaq Barrett, Taylor will likely have to use his athleticism often to escape a few sacks against the Broncos.

 

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