The Buffalo Bills' playoff chances took a big hit during Week 10, and they weren't even playing.
The Bills could only watch from home during their bye week as the teams ahead of them in the AFC standings distanced themselves. The biggest concern for Buffalo right now is the AFC West, which has three teams with a very real shot of making the postseason.
Kansas City leads the division at 7-2 after a come-from-behind win over Carolina on Sunday, while Denver is 7-3 thanks to an improbable victory over New Orleans in which the Broncos' Justin Simmons blocked an extra point and teammate Will Parks scooped up the loose ball, returning it for two points with 1:22 remaining, giving Denver a 25-23 win.
The Raiders, who had a bye week, are also 7-2, but they are behind the Chiefs because of a head-to-head loss.
Here are the remaining schedules for each of those teams:
Kansas City: Tampa Bay, at Denver, at Atlanta, Oakland, Tennessee, Denver, at San Diego.
Denver: Kansas City, at Jacksonville, at Tennessee, New England, at Kansas City, Oakland.
Oakland: Houston, Carolina, Buffalo, at Kansas City, at San Diego, Indianapolis, at Denver.
The Bills' best possible record is 11-5, with an 8-4 AFC mark. That, of course, would require running the table. The odds of that aren't great, to say the least.
If the Bills went 6-1 over their final seven games, to finish 10-6 with a 7-5 conference record, that might not be enough. There are a combined four games between the three AFC West teams still on the schedule.
If Denver goes 3-3 the rest of the way, it would also finish 10-6 with a 7-5 conference record. That would bring into play the next tiebreaker, which is winning percentage against common opponents (with a minimum of four games played).
Oakland would have to go 3-4 to finish 10-6. The Week 13 game at Oakland will be critical for the Bills to pick up the head-to-head tiebreaker to increase their chances of catching the Raiders.
The Chiefs still have two games left against NFC opponents, so it's a bit tougher to forecast the rest of their season, but the bottom line is this: The Bills have to play near perfect football over the final seven weeks, while hoping the teams out west stumble badly.
Heading into Monday Night Football, the Bills are 11th in the AFC standings, but could fall to 12th if the Bengals -- Buffalo's Week 11 opponent -- beats the Giants.
Here are the complete standings:
1. New England Patriots (7-2)
2. Kansas City Chiefs (7-2)
3. Houston Texans (6-3)
4. Baltimore Ravens (5-4)
5. Oakland Raiders (7-2)
6. Denver Broncos (7-3)
7. Miami Dolphins (5-4)
8. Tennessee Titans (5-5)
9. Pittsburgh Steelers (4-5, 3-3 AFC record)
10. Indianapolis Colts (4-5, 2-4 AFC record)
11. Buffalo Bills (4-5, 1-4 AFC record)
12. Cincinnati Bengals (3-4-1)
13. San Diego Chargers (4-6)
14. New York Jets (3-7)
15. Jacksonville Jaguars (2-7)
16. Cleveland Browns (0-10)