It's extremely dangerous to look ahead in the Atlantic 10 Conference, but the final two weeks of the college basketball season look favorable for St. Bonaventure in the wake of its upset of 15th-ranked Dayton Saturday.
Bona stands 18-7 overall and 10-4 in the A-10, alone in fourth place. The top four seeds get byes into the A-10 quarterfinals.
The Bonnies are home for the next three games - against Duquesne (5-8) Wednesday, UMass (4-9) Saturday and then St. Joe's (11-3) March 2 in a game that will be played in Rochester. Bona closes the season at St. Louis, which is 4-9 and 9-16.
Bona lost at Duquesne last month, but the Dukes have lost four straight entering a game Saturday night at Rhode Island.
The St. Joe's game looms huge. The Hawks' stood 23rd in the Ratings Percentage Index before today's games. Bona now is 3-2 against top-50 RPI teams. Bona entered Saturday 53rd in the RPI. But Dayton was ninth. So Bona should bounce back up into the 30s. A win over St. Joes's would make the Bonnies 4-2 against top-50 teams, which would help their cause to get an at-large NCAA Tournament berth if they can reach the A-10 final.
If Bona can win out in the last four games, it figures to be at least the No. 3 seed for the A-10 tournament (by virtue of a sweep of St. Joe's). A 3-1 finish will give Bona the No. 4 seed. George Washington (8-5) stands fifth, but Bona has the tie-breaker over the Colonials.
The link to the game story of the Bona win over Dayton: